Tag: GCI working paper

Empowering Africa: The Impact of China’s Power Finance on Energy Poverty

Energy poverty is a pervasive and persistent development issue in Africa. Despite the continent’s rich natural resources, the “resource curse” remains a reality for countries with insufficient generation capacity, aging power plants, weak institutions and a lack of affordable energy finance. Additionally, the continent faces crippling energy deficits driven by urbanization and industrialization, coupled with […]

The Lender of First Resort? Chinese Swap Lines, the IMF and the Changing International Financial Architecture

Since its founding, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has in theory sought to act as the international “lender of last resort,” providing financing to countries facing balance-of-payments and macrofinancial pressures.  However, in the 21st century, the landscape of international rescue lending has shifted. China has become the world’s largest bilateral lender, providing assistance comparable to […]

China’s Creditor Diversification in Africa: Impacts and Challenges of Infrastructure Debt-Financing by Chinese Commercial Creditors

Chinese overseas lending has drawn attention for their support to developing countries in infrastructure development, as well as growing criticism for sovereign debt impacts.  However, the institutions and instruments involved in overseas finance vary significantly and have undergone substantial changes over time. While financing has to date been dominated by policy banks, Export-Import Bank of […]

Chasing the Sun: The Political Economy of Solar Investment in the Global South

Foreign direct investment is often cited as critical for renewable energy growth in low- and middle-income countries.  However, despite the promise of foreign investment, countries like Colombia capable of quickly scaling up solar are still facing an energy crisis. Why has solar installation slowed in countries with experienced foreign investors, but continues to steadily grow […]

Africa Takes the Wheel: The Role of Host States in Shaping Outcomes of Chinese-Supported Power Generation Projects in Africa

Chinese companies have installed over 25 GW of generation capacity in Africa, making up more than 15 percent of sub-Saharan Africa’s installed generation capacity. Despite their undeniable contribution to the power sector in sub-Saharan Africa, the price and investment outcomes of these projects have varied. Chinese companies have been observed to construct both low- and […]

Chinese Ties and Low-carbon Industrialization in Africa

Since the establishment of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) in 2000 and the China-Africa Development Fund in 2006, China’s economic ties with Africa have grown and deepened significantly. However, China’s deepening connections and in particular, its foreign direct investment (FDI), in Africa have been the subject of discussion regarding their composition, goals, nature and implications […]

Incremental PM2.5 Ambient Concentrations and Mortality Risks from Proposed, Large-scale Coal-fired Power Plants in Indonesia: A Modelling Analysis

Indonesia remains one of the world’s largest producers of coal, both for export and domestic energy generation. A reliance on coal-fired power plants can have negative impacts on public health and increase risks of stroke, ischemic heart disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and even mortality. If a group of new and large (> 1,000 MW) […]

Direct Impacts and Spatial Spillovers: The Impact of Chinese Infrastructure Projects on Economic Activities in sub-Saharan Africa

Amid a weak and uneven economic recovery in the Global South, regional development and infrastructure investment seem to be critical to sustainable development. In particular, infrastructure provision is seen as an “unmissable driver for development” in the sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) region. Aside from institutional reasons, physical infrastructure is critical in facilitating market integration and freeing […]

Calculated Capital: The Business Logic Behind Chinese Lending in the Global South

Overseas development finance plays a pivotal role in China’s expanding global engagement. Existing scholarship portrays Chinese capital as “patient,” due to its higher tolerance of risk compared to Western capital, which prioritizes short-term gains.  In a new working paper, David Landry and Keyi Tang demonstrate that this narrative overlooks the calculated decisions behind much of […]