{"id":59002,"date":"2019-10-28T19:42:22","date_gmt":"2019-10-28T23:42:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/susilo\/?p=59002"},"modified":"2020-04-11T10:47:20","modified_gmt":"2020-04-11T14:47:20","slug":"human-aversion-to-algorithms-and-ways-to-overcome-it","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/susilo\/2019\/10\/28\/human-aversion-to-algorithms-and-ways-to-overcome-it\/","title":{"rendered":"Human Aversion to Algorithms and Ways to Overcome It"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">October 2019<\/span>: We are compiling summaries of state-of-the-art research in ethics at the frontier of technology, following the theme of our 2019 Susilo Symposium. Today, we review insights on algorithm aversion from Berkeley Dietvorst (The University of Chicago, Booth School of Business), Joseph Simmons and Cade Massey (both from University of Pennsylvania, The Wharton School).<\/p>\n<p><strong>Resistance to Algorithm Compared to Human Advice <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Organizations want to hire people that are most likely to succeed. Hiring decisions are based on forecasts of a candidates\u2019 future success which rely on the information on their applications. When it comes to universities, for example, traditionally, people in the selection committee review all applications and make forecasts about each one. This is the <em>human<\/em> method. Universities can also rely on evidence-based <em>algorithms<\/em>, by using the data of past applicants to build statistical models or decision rules that make predictions about each candidates\u2019 likelihood to succeed. A growing body of research shows that, on average, evidence-based algorithms make more accurate predictions than humans in various domains ranging from clinical diagnosis to employees\u2019 success. Therefore, when choosing between algorithmic and human predictions, it would make sense for organizations to go with algorithms.<\/p>\n<p>However, seeing how an algorithm perform can decrease people\u2019s trust in it according to recent <a href=\"https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2466040\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">research<\/a><span> by Dietvorst, Simmons, and Massey.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>According to Dietvorst and his colleagues, their results from online and laboratory experiments revealed that when people saw algorithms make occasional mistakes, they lost confidence more quickly compared to when the same mistakes were made by human forecasters. For example, in one experiment participants were asked to forecast the success of MBA applicants based on eight criteria (undergraduate degree, GMAT scores, essay quality, interview quality, etc.). Participants either saw a human make forecasts, an algorithm make forecasts, both, or neither. After seeing this series of forecasts, participants were shown the actual grades that applicants received, revealing the forecasting mistakes from the algorithm and the human. When exposed to the algorithm forecaster, participants were less confident in it and more likely to bet on humans for better forecasts in the future. This was true even for participants who saw an algorithm outperform a human.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Solutions to overcome \u201calgorithm aversion\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>How can one increase employees\u2019 or customers\u2019 trust in and use of algorithms? In a subsequent <a href=\"https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2616787\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">article<\/a>, Dietvorst et al. found that people were more likely to choose an algorithm if they could modify the content of its forecasts. In their study, participants were informed about an imperfect algorithm on students\u2019 grades, which was off by 17.5 points (out of 100) on average. Participants were asked to make a series of grading forecasts based on students\u2019 information. In the control condition, participants had to choose between exclusively using their own forecasts (any grade from 0 to 100) or exclusively using the model\u2019s forecasts (if the algorithm\u2019s forecast was 82, participants had to forecast 82).\u00a0In the \u201cadjust\u201d conditions, participants also had the choice to use exclusively their own forecasts and the algorithm\u2019s forecasts. However, they could adjust the model\u2019s forecasts by 10 points (if the algorithm\u2019s forecast is 82, participants could forecast a grade from 72 to 92), 5 points or 2 points. Results show that people were more likely to use the algorithm when they could adjust the forecast. Interestingly, the participants were insensitive to the amount by which they could adjust the model (10 vs. 5 vs. 2).<\/p>\n<p>Overall, the research suggests that one can reduce algorithm aversion by giving people some control, even if only small amount. Reducing algorithm aversion can increase performance for various companies and industries. Furthermore, \u201c<em>it<\/em> <em>might help to enhance the social good in domains where increased performance can save lives, like allocating <a href=\"https:\/\/medicalxpress.com\/news\/2019-08-die-kidney-multiple.html)\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">organ donations<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rand.org\/pubs\/research_reports\/RR2150.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">operating vehicles<\/a>.\u201d <\/em>(Dr. Dietvorst, email correspondence)<\/p>\n<p>The two published academic papers can be found here:<\/p>\n<p>Dietvorst, B. J., Simmons, J. P., &amp; Massey, C. (2015). <a href=\"https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2466040\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Algorithm Aversion: People Erroneously Avoid Algorithms After Seeing Them Err<\/a>, Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 144(1):114-126.<\/p>\n<p>Dietvorst, B. J., Simmons, J. P., &amp; Massey, C. (2016). <a href=\"https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2616787\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Overcoming Algorithm Aversion: People Will Use Imperfect Algorithms If They Can (Even Slightly) Modify Them<\/a>, Management Science, 64(3):1155-1170.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>October 2019: We are compiling summaries of state-of-the-art research in ethics at the frontier of technology, following the theme of our 2019 Susilo Symposium. Today, we review insights on algorithm aversion from Berkeley Dietvorst (The University of Chicago, Booth School of Business), Joseph Simmons and Cade Massey (both from University of Pennsylvania, The Wharton School). [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16155,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[8453],"tags":[8452,8451],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/susilo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59002"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/susilo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/susilo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/susilo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/16155"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/susilo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=59002"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/susilo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59002\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":59121,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/susilo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59002\/revisions\/59121"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/susilo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=59002"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/susilo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=59002"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/susilo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=59002"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}