{"id":90767,"date":"2016-09-25T05:00:30","date_gmt":"2016-09-25T09:00:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/?p=90767"},"modified":"2021-02-17T11:54:13","modified_gmt":"2021-02-17T16:54:13","slug":"public-health-and-the-rise-of-non-communicable-diseases","status":"publish","type":"bu-article","link":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/news\/articles\/2016\/public-health-and-the-rise-of-non-communicable-diseases\/","title":{"rendered":"Public Health and the Rise of Non-Communicable Diseases"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"wp-prepress-component-metabar js-block-editorial-metabar sphnews-prepress-layout-metabar\">\n\t<div class=\"wp-prepress-component-metabar-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wp-prepress-component-metabar-date\">September 25, 2016<\/div>\n\t\t\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wp-prepress-component-metabar-credits\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wp-prepress-component-metabar-share js-bu-prepress-share-tools\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"icon-twitter\"><span>Twitter<\/span><\/span>\n\t\t\t<span class=\"icon-facebook\"><span>Facebook<\/span><\/span>\n\t\t\t<span class=\"icon-action\"><\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p><strong><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"\/sph\/files\/2014\/12\/thisweek365-deans-note.png\" alt=\"thisweek365-deans-note\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-59530\" width=\"400\" height=\"241\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><\/strong>A comment before today\u2019s Dean\u2019s Note. President Obama proclaimed this last week to be Prescription Opioid and Heroin\u00a0Epidemic Awareness Week; a welcome and much-needed focus on a key public health challenge. During the week, the administration spotlighted <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/the-press-office\/2016\/09\/19\/fact-sheet-obama-administration-announces-prescription-opioid-and-heroin\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">a range of efforts<\/a> to tackle the opioid crisis, including expanded treatment for people with addiction, investment in Distance Learning and Telemedicine (DLT) to support the health needs of rural communities, a competition to develop a Naloxone smartphone app to prevent overdoses, and bilateral measures aimed at disrupting the flow of fentanyl from China. This strategy, with its emphasis on innovation, marginalized populations, and the broader political and economic policies that shape health, strikes me as just the right approach, and is consistent with our own focus on social context and the upstream determinants of health. Going forward, we must continue to advocate for the centrality of these factors, and for a health policy that is founded on the same creativity and comprehensiveness that we are beginning to see applied to the opioid epidemic.<\/p>\n<p>On to today\u2019s Note.<\/p>\n<p>Sometimes, the next public health challenge can be a product of the last public health success. The beginnings of public health, for example, were rooted in preventing <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/blogs.plos.org\/publichealth\/2013\/03\/11\/john-snow-the-first-epidemiologist\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">infectious disease<\/a> and promoting <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.haciendapub.com\/medicalsentinel\/medical-history-hygiene-and-sanitation\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">sanitation<\/a>. Now that we have largely <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/graphics.wsj.com\/infectious-diseases-and-vaccines\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">eradicated many of these infectious conditions<\/a> in the United States and in other high-resource countries, humans are living long enough to die from <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.who.int\/mediacentre\/factsheets\/fs355\/en\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">non-communicable diseases, or NCDs<\/a>. Although the definition can be debated, broadly speaking NCDs are illnesses that are not physically transmissible from person to person; they are typically chronic and usually occur later in the lifecourse. They also now cause more than <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/globalhealth\/healthprotection\/ncd\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">75 percent of deaths<\/a> worldwide. In 2014, the World Health Organization (WHO) Director-General Margaret Chan said of NCDs, \u201cThe challenges presented by these diseases are enormous. They demand some fundamental changes in the way social progress is measured, the way governments work, the way responsibilities are assigned, and the way the boundaries of different government sectors are defined.\u201d A Note, then, mindful of this week\u2019s <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.world-heart-federation.org\/what-we-do\/world-heart-day\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">World Heart Day<\/a>, on the rise of NCDs, and how public health can confront the ever-evolving future of human illness.<\/p>\n<p>To begin, a few words about the scope of the problem. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/circ.ahajournals.org\/content\/133\/25\/2626\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Cardiovascular diseases<\/a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.who.int\/nmh\/publications\/ncd_report2010\/en\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">cause<\/a> the highest proportion of NCD deaths under the age of 70, accounting for 39 percent of NCD mortality worldwide. Cancers are next, at 27 percent, followed by digestive and chronic respiratory diseases, which, taken together with other NCDs, are responsible for 30 percent of global NCD mortality (Figure 1).<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_90770\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-90770\" style=\"width: 777px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"\/sph\/files\/2016\/09\/NCD1.png\" alt=\"Proportion of global NCD deaths under the age of 70, by cause of death, 2008. Global status report on noncommunicable diseases: 2010. World Health Organization. Source: http:\/\/www.who.int\/nmh\/publications\/ncd_report_full_en.pdf. Accessed June 30, 2016\" class=\"wp-image-90770 size-full\" width=\"767\" height=\"569\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2016\/09\/NCD1.png 767w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2016\/09\/NCD1-636x472.png 636w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2016\/09\/NCD1-755x560.png 755w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 100vw, 767px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-90770\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><strong>Figure 1.<\/strong> Proportion of global NCD deaths under the age of 70, by cause of death, 2008. Global status report on noncommunicable diseases: 2010. World Health Organization. Source: http:\/\/www.who.int\/nmh\/publications\/ncd_report_full_en.pdf. Accessed June 30, 2016.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>What is arresting is not so much the diseases themselves, familiar as they are, but the rate at which their prevalence is growing, even as the prevalence of infectious diseases declines. This is in keeping with global trends. The <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.who.int\/mediacentre\/factsheets\/fs310\/en\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">top three causes of death<\/a> across the world in 2012 were Ischemic heart disease, stroke and chronic obstructive pulmonary (lung) disease\u2014all NCDs. The WHO <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.who.int\/healthinfo\/global_burden_disease\/GBD_report_2004update_full.pdf?ua=1\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">has predicted<\/a> that cancer and ischaemic heart disease, as well as cerebrovascular disease, will rise steadily through 2030, while infectious diseases like malaria, tuberculosis, and HIV\/AIDS largely decelerate (Figure 2).<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_90771\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-90771\" style=\"width: 777px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"\/sph\/files\/2016\/09\/NCD2.png\" alt=\" Projected global deaths for selected causes, 2004-2030. Global Burden of Disease: 2004 Update. World Health Organization. Source: http:\/\/www.who.int\/healthinfo\/global_burden_disease\/GBD_report_2004update_full.pdf?ua=1 Accessed June 30, 2016\" class=\"wp-image-90771 size-full\" width=\"767\" height=\"436\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2016\/09\/NCD2.png 767w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2016\/09\/NCD2-636x362.png 636w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2016\/09\/NCD2-755x429.png 755w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 100vw, 767px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-90771\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><strong>Figure 2.<\/strong> Projected global deaths for selected causes, 2004-2030. Global Burden of Disease: 2004 Update. World Health Organization. Source: http:\/\/www.who.int\/healthinfo\/global_burden_disease\/GBD_report_2004update_full.pdf?ua=1 Accessed June 30, 2016.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>As shown below in Figure 3, deaths due to stroke and heart disease have increased since 2000. Six years ago the WHO <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.who.int\/nmh\/publications\/ncd_report2010\/en\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">projected<\/a> that, between 2010 and 2020, NCD deaths would increase by 15 percent globally, which translates to roughly 44 million lives lost. The WHO regions of Africa, South-East Asia and the Eastern Mediterranean will bear the brunt of this burden, seeing NCD increases of over 20 percent. In the African Region, NCDs are predicted to cause approximately 3.9 million deaths; this figure is dwarfed by the WHO projection for South-East Asia (10.4 million deaths) and the Western Pacific (12.3 million deaths).<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_90772\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-90772\" style=\"width: 777px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"\/sph\/files\/2016\/09\/NCD3-copy.png\" alt=\"Comparison of leading causes of death over the past decade, 2000 and 2012. \u201cThe top 10 causes of death.\u201d Fact sheet No. 310, World Health Organization. Source: http:\/\/www.who.int\/mediacentre\/factsheets\/fs310\/en\/. Updated May 2014. Accessed June 17, 2016.\" class=\"wp-image-90772 size-full\" width=\"767\" height=\"630\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2016\/09\/NCD3-copy.png 767w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2016\/09\/NCD3-copy-636x522.png 636w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2016\/09\/NCD3-copy-755x620.png 755w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 100vw, 767px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-90772\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><strong>Figure 3.<\/strong> Comparison of leading causes of death over the past decade, 2000 and 2012. \u201cThe top 10 causes of death.\u201d Fact sheet No. 310, World Health Organization. Source: http:\/\/www.who.int\/mediacentre\/factsheets\/fs310\/en\/. Updated May 2014. Accessed June 17, 2016.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Even in lower-resource countries, where the majority of deaths are still caused by infectious disease, NCDs are on the rise. For example, more people die from cancers in low-resource countries than from many infectious diseases combined. And while it is true that, in 2010, the WHO <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.who.int\/nmh\/publications\/ncd_report2010\/en\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">reported<\/a> more deaths from infectious disease than from NCDs in the Africa Region, NCDs are fast gaining ground in that part of the world. By 2020, NCDs are projected to outstrip nutritional, perinatal, maternal, and communicable diseases, causing nearly three-quarters as many deaths as these other conditions.<\/p>\n<p>The rise in NCDs not only challenges us to mobilize against a growing public health threat, it also necessitates a shift in how we quantify morbidity, and how we measure progress. NCDs are often chronic conditions that undermine wellbeing throughout the lifecourse. Chronic diseases <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.medicinenet.com\/script\/main\/art.asp?articlekey=33490\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">by definition<\/a> tend to have long durations, so another way of quantifying burden\u2014in addition to death\u2014is decrease in quality of life over time. The <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.who.int\/healthinfo\/global_burden_disease\/metrics_daly\/en\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">disability-adjusted life-year<\/a>, or DALY, combines years of healthy life lost due to both mortality and morbidity, or living with poor health in general. Figure 4 shows a recent ranking from the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.who.int\/healthinfo\/global_burden_disease\/about\/en\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Global Burden of Disease project<\/a> of the top diseases contributing to the most DALYs, by region of the world. All of the top 10 conditions in high-income countries are non-communicable. Success in the fight against NCDs therefore means success in promoting quality of life throughout the lifecourse. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncoa.org\/healthy-aging\/chronic-disease\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Chronic disease management<\/a> is key to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/2016\/04\/24\/population-health-in-the-era-of-global-aging\/\">healthy aging<\/a>; coming to grips with NCDs is thus an opportunity to spotlight the wellness needs of older adults, and work towards improving health at every stage of the aging process.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_90773\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-90773\" style=\"width: 777px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"\/sph\/files\/2016\/09\/NCD4.png\" alt=\"Leading causes of burden of disease (DALYs), countries grouped by income, 2004. Global Burden of Disease: 2004 Update. World Health Organization. Source: http:\/\/www.who.int\/healthinfo\/global_burden_disease\/GBD_report_2004update_full.pdf?ua=1. Accessed June 30, 2016\" class=\"wp-image-90773 size-full\" width=\"767\" height=\"651\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2016\/09\/NCD4.png 767w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2016\/09\/NCD4-636x540.png 636w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2016\/09\/NCD4-755x641.png 755w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 100vw, 767px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-90773\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><strong>Figure 4.<\/strong> Leading causes of burden of disease (DALYs), countries grouped by income, 2004. Global Burden of Disease: 2004 Update. World Health Organization. Source: http:\/\/www.who.int\/healthinfo\/global_burden_disease\/GBD_report_2004update_full.pdf?ua=1. Accessed June 30, 2016.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>The problem of NCDs also necessitates a shift in how we think of the etiology of disease. If there ever was any doubt about the complexity of pathogenesis, NCDs extinguish it. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.healthypeople.gov\/2020\/topics-objectives\/topic\/social-determinants-of-health\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Social determinants of health,<\/a> including <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pubmed\/1641443\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">economic inequality, education<\/a>, and housing, are an ineluctable part of the production of NCDs, and shape how they emerge and flourish. Consider obesity, associated as it is with the onset <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pmc\/articles\/PMC3418261\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">of many NCDs<\/a>, including <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.cancer.gov\/about-cancer\/causes-prevention\/risk\/obesity\/obesity-fact-sheet\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">cancer<\/a>. The interaction between obesity and a range of factors\u2014from <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pubmed\/17046405\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">smoking<\/a>, to <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.livescience.com\/51564-sitting-womens-cancer-risk.html\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">physical activity<\/a>, to other NCDs <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/care.diabetesjournals.org\/content\/36\/Supplement_2\/S233\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">like diabetes<\/a>\u2014can determine the incidence of cancer in populations. To tackle the problem of cancer, we must therefore look at the structural drivers that lead to obesity\u2014factors like <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/frac.org\/obesity-health\/low-income-food-insecure-people-vulnerable-poor-nutrition-obesity\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">income<\/a>, the availability of healthy food, and <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/care.diabetesjournals.org\/content\/31\/11\/2211\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">cultural norms<\/a>\u2014and the interplay of these factors.<\/p>\n<p>The rise of NCDs, while worrying, represents a unique opportunity for public health. It is core to the work of public health over the coming decade to raise awareness of these diseases; of both their ubiquity and their preventability. This mission is, I think, consistent with where we are headed as a school. When we discuss <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/2015\/02\/08\/population-health-science-and-the-conditions-that-make-people-healthy\/\">the social context of disease<\/a>, or examine <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/public-health-conversations\/deans-symposia\/how-does-where-you-live-affect-your-health\/\">how our living space affects our health<\/a>; when we take a hard look at global poverty, or facilitate conversations <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/public-health-conversations\/public-health-fora\/public-health-fora-2015-2016-2\/public-health-priorities-for-an-aging-population\/\">around healthy aging<\/a>, we are highlighting the steps we must take to prevent and mitigate the consequences of the diseases that will preoccupy the world over the coming decades. This puts our work squarely at the leading edge of the promotion of health and the prevention of disease, towards the production of healthier populations.<\/p>\n<p>I hope everyone has a terrific week. Until next week.<\/p>\n<p>Warm regards,<\/p>\n<p>Sandro<\/p>\n<p>Sandro Galea, MD, DrPH<br \/>Dean and Robert A. Knox Professor<br \/>Boston University School of Public Health<br \/>Twitter: <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/sandrogalea\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@sandrogalea<\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0Acknowledgement: I am grateful to Laura Sampson and to Eric DelGizzo, for their contributions to this Dean\u2019s Note<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Previous Dean\u2019s Notes are archived at: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/tag\/deans-note\/\">https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/tag\/deans-note\/<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The rise of NCDs is, in large part, a result of the success of public health in preventing infectious diseases. Some thoughts on how a focus on foundational drivers can guide the fight against NCDs.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10951,"featured_media":68217,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","template":"","meta":{"bu_prepress_billboard":"","_bu_prepress_primary_term":"","_bu_prepress_primary_term_manual":""},"tags":[1729],"bu-publication":[3516],"sphnews-article-category":[3519,3527,3531],"sphnews-topic":[],"bu_edition":[],"media_type":[],"profile_tax":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bu-article\/90767"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bu-article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/bu-article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10951"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=90767"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bu-article\/90767\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":191748,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bu-article\/90767\/revisions\/191748"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/68217"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=90767"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=90767"},{"taxonomy":"bu-publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bu-publication?post=90767"},{"taxonomy":"sphnews-article-category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/sphnews-article-category?post=90767"},{"taxonomy":"sphnews-topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/sphnews-topic?post=90767"},{"taxonomy":"bu_edition","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bu_edition?post=90767"},{"taxonomy":"media_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media_type?post=90767"},{"taxonomy":"profile_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/profile_tax?post=90767"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}