{"id":102907,"date":"2017-04-23T09:04:38","date_gmt":"2017-04-23T13:04:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/?p=102907"},"modified":"2021-02-18T16:30:36","modified_gmt":"2021-02-18T21:30:36","slug":"crying-crisis","status":"publish","type":"bu-article","link":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/news\/articles\/2017\/crying-crisis\/","title":{"rendered":"Crying \u201cCrisis\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"wp-prepress-component-metabar js-block-editorial-metabar sphnews-prepress-layout-metabar\">\n\t<div class=\"wp-prepress-component-metabar-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wp-prepress-component-metabar-date\">April 23, 2017<\/div>\n\t\t\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wp-prepress-component-metabar-credits\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wp-prepress-component-metabar-share js-bu-prepress-share-tools\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"icon-twitter\"><span>Twitter<\/span><\/span>\n\t\t\t<span class=\"icon-facebook\"><span>Facebook<\/span><\/span>\n\t\t\t<span class=\"icon-action\"><\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"\/sph\/files\/2015\/05\/thisweek365-deans-note.png\" alt=\"thisweek365-deans-note\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-68217\" height=\"241\" width=\"400\" \/><\/p>\n<div>\n<p><span role=\"button\" class=\"contextualExtensionHighlight ms-font-color-themePrimary ms-border-color-themePrimary ident_319_404\" tabindex=\"0\">I start today by noting the marches for science this weekend throughout the country.<\/span>\u00a0I have written recently <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.scientificamerican.com\/guest-blog\/as-scientists-get-political-public-health-offers-a-blueprint-for-success\/?WT.mc_id=SA_TW_POLE_BLOG\">about the role that public health has played historically<\/a> in working to shape social, economic, and cultural conditions, and how this work is inextricable from the production of good science and its communication to those who can make change happen at the local, national, and global level. This weekend\u2019s civic engagement around the important of science, in the face of ill political winds, is a heartening reminder of the importance of science to a robust, progressive society, and our role in protecting and advancing the interests of science.<\/p>\n<p>Now, on to today\u2019s note.\u00a0In recent years, the label of public health crisis has been applied in our national conversation to circumstances as diverse as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pubmed\/27163559\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.huffingtonpost.com\/entry\/puerto-rico-zika-emergency_us_57ae4e97e4b007c36e4eed5c\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">threat<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.hindustantimes.com\/analysis\/the-zika-virus-could-be-india-s-next-big-public-health-crisis\/story-8eZcbuIbpUbirfIZPu2lcM.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">of<\/a> Zika and the complex issue of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bostonmagazine.com\/health\/blog\/2016\/07\/13\/porn-public-health-crisis\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pornography<\/a>. But are these issues truly crises? The label is often applied to scenarios that are immediate, frightening, and that seemingly pose a substantial risk to well-being.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>But does this definition really speak to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.annalsofepidemiology.org\/article\/S1047-2797(15)00044-7\/abstract\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">what matters most<\/a> to population health?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/jamanetwork.com\/journals\/jama\/fullarticle\/198333\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">In a 2004 paper<\/a>, J. Michael McGinnis and William Foege argue that we should differentiate between \u201cthe immediate and the important.\u201d I have always found this argument persuasive. \u201cThe immediate\u201d represents the concerns of the moment, animating the public debate without necessarily reflecting the root causes of disease. \u201cThe important\u201d reflects the problems that spring from the fundamental social, economic, and environmental determinants of health. Time and again we have seen how easy it can be to confuse the immediate with the important, particularly when grappling with something we perceive as a \u201ccrisis.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Here is one illustration: Between 2001 and 2013, 3,380 Americans <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2015\/12\/04\/us\/gun-violence-graphics\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">were killed<\/a> by terrorism. During that time, 406,496 Americans were killed by firearms on US soil (Figure 1). Despite this disproportion, we spent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usnews.com\/news\/articles\/2016-09-09\/war-on-terror-could-be-costliest-yet\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">trillions of dollars<\/a> on the War on Terror, and lost thousands <a href=\"http:\/\/icasualties.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">of<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.huffingtonpost.com\/news\/civilian-casualties\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">lives<\/a>, while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2016\/jun\/20\/senate-gun-control-vote-orlando-shooting\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">declining to pass<\/a> even modest gun control legislation.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_102910\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-102910\" style=\"width: 1034px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"\/sph\/files\/2017\/04\/DN-4.23.17-1024x550.png\" width=\"1024\" height=\"550\" class=\"wp-image-102910 size-large\" alt=\"Figure 1. American deaths caused by terrorism vs. gun violence\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2017\/04\/DN-4.23.17-1024x550.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2017\/04\/DN-4.23.17-636x341.png 636w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2017\/04\/DN-4.23.17-768x412.png 768w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2017\/04\/DN-4.23.17-1536x824.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2017\/04\/DN-4.23.17-2048x1099.png 2048w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2017\/04\/DN-4.23.17-755x405.png 755w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2017\/04\/DN-4.23.17-1628x874.png 1628w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2017\/04\/DN-4.23.17-900x483.png 900w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2017\/04\/DN-4.23.17-1920x1031.png 1920w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/files\/2017\/04\/DN-4.23.17-1200x644.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-102910\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><strong>Figure 1. American deaths caused by terrorism vs. gun violence<\/strong><br \/>Simon M, Sanchez R. US gun violence: The story in charts and graphs. CNN. December 4, 2015. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2015\/12\/04\/us\/gun-violence-graphics\/index.html\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">http:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2015\/12\/04\/us\/gun-violence-graphics\/index.html<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>What, then, is a public health crisis? Part of the challenge in considering what is a crisis is that there is no epidemiologic definition of \u201ccrisis,\u201d in contrast with notions of epidemic or pandemic, or even \u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/www.who.int\/topics\/emergencies\/en\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">emergency<\/a>,\u201d for which there are indeed accepted definitions. The notion of \u201ccrisis\u201d therefore creates a definitional vacuum, creating an opportunity for events to be casually labeled a \u201ccrisis\u201d in the public conversation. This is not cost-free. Applying the \u201ccrisis\u201d label suggests that we need it to mean something\u2014to carry weight. Over time, this is less likely to be the case if we allow the term to characterize situations that do not meet the criteria for a true crisis. A reflection, then, on better defining a crisis, so that we may more effectively tackle the problems that matter most to the health of populations.<\/p>\n<p>I start by way of another illustration. The contrast between the immediate and the important, and how we sometimes confuse the two in labeling a public health crisis, was well illustrated by the example of Zika. The WHO <a href=\"http:\/\/www.who.int\/mediacentre\/news\/statements\/2016\/emergency-committee-zika-microcephaly\/en\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">declared Zika<\/a> \u201ca public health emergency of international concern,\u201d and fears of a crisis informed much of the response to the disease, with some even calling for the Rio Olympics <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/health\/archive\/2016\/06\/rio-de-janeiro-brazil-olympics-zika-risk-postpone-cancel-move\/485183\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">to be postponed due to the perceived threat<\/a>. But were such calls warranted? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wbur.org\/cognoscenti\/2016\/09\/08\/zika-sandro-galea\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">While there is much we still do not know about Zika<\/a>, the threat of the disease, while undeniably significant for those affected, has been comparatively limited overall. Between January 2015 and March 2017, there were 5,139 Zika cases reported in the US\u2014not a negligible amount, but a drop in the ocean compared to other health challenges. Consider, by way of contrast, childhood obesity. In the US, childhood obesity <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/obesity\/data\/childhood.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">affected<\/a> about 12.7 million children and adolescents between 2011 and 2014\u201417 percent\u2014contributing to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/2016\/10\/09\/meeting-the-challenge-of-obesity\/\">a broader obesity burden<\/a> that costs the country between $147 billion and $210 billion per year in healthcare spending. Obesity is associated with <a href=\"http:\/\/www.medicinenet.com\/script\/main\/art.asp?articlekey=39840\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">diabetes<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.world-heart-federation.org\/cardiovascular-health\/cardiovascular-disease-risk-factors\/obesity\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">heart disease<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/journals.lww.com\/greenjournal\/Citation\/2016\/02000\/Prepregnancy_Body_Mass_Index_and_Infant_Mortality.15.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">infant mortality<\/a>, among other conditions. Yet it has never generated the same crisis-level of concern inspired by Zika.<\/p>\n<p>Why do we call something a crisis? Why do threats like Zika prompt a degree of public concern that threats like childhood obesity do not? While it is <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nejm.org\/doi\/full\/10.1056\/NEJMp1406167#t=article\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">often<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pmc\/articles\/PMC1854988\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the scale<\/a> of harm an event may cause that triggers such labeling, this is clearly not the only reason we label something a crisis, or else an issue like obesity would sound a much louder alarm. I suggest that our concept of crisis is, in fact, shaped by three key factors: politics, perceived risk, and which groups are most affected by the threat.<\/p>\n<p>Zika is an example of how politics can shape our perception of a crisis. Due to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.npr.org\/sections\/goatsandsoda\/2015\/02\/06\/384223023\/critics-says-ebola-crisis-was-whos-big-failure-will-reform-follow\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">criticism<\/a> over its handling of Ebola, the WHO <a href=\"http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-health-zika-idUSKCN0V523W\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">was not in a position<\/a> to appear disengaged on Zika. This pressure informed its messaging, as a similar tone was struck by some <a href=\"http:\/\/www.motherjones.com\/politics\/2016\/05\/stop-freaking-out-zika-olympics-aedes-aegypti\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">in government<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.slate.com\/articles\/health_and_science\/medical_examiner\/2016\/04\/a_zika_outbreak_in_the_u_s_is_not_anything_to_panic_about.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the media<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Health\/zika-fears-prompt-125-public-health-experts-call\/story?id=39426429\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">public health<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Politics feeds into our perception of risk, which, in turn, contributes to what we view as a crisis. In his book, <em>Getting Risk Right: Understanding the Science of Elusive Health Risks<\/em>, Geoffrey Kabat <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Getting-Risk-Right-Understanding-Science\/dp\/023116646X\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">writes<\/a> that public health science \u201cis embedded in a society that is highly attuned to the latest potential threat or breakthrough.\u201d In such a society, our perception of risk is often linked to factors that are external to the painstaking, frequently incremental work of verifying the scope and causes of health risks. These factors range from political pressures, to a media culture that often prioritizes the moment-to-moment flow of news and events over reporting the broader context in which scientific developments unfold. Kabat also points out that \u201ccertain types of risks have much more salience for the public than others,\u201d with threats that seem under our individual control\u2014like weight gain\u2014perceived as less alarming than threats that seem less so, such as trace amounts of chemicals in food, or the bite of a mosquito.<\/p>\n<p>Third, and perhaps most disturbingly, the demographics of a given health threat\u2014factors like race and economic status\u2014can play a role in whether or not that threat receives the \u201ccrisis\u201d label. One could look to the opioid epidemic for an example. The recent acknowledgement of the rise in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pnas.org\/content\/112\/49\/15078.full.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">white deaths<\/a> has prompted a much more widespread acknowledgement of the epidemic than when it affected <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/politics\/archive\/2015\/08\/crack-heroin-and-race\/401015\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">predominantly black communities<\/a>. There are, of course, many reasons for this shift\u2014including the efforts of public health in recent years <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bostonglobe.com\/metro\/2016\/02\/03\/finding-right-words-for-addiction\/EdNzUNS10KQDinOEk3lQpN\/story.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">to change the terms of the conversation<\/a> about addiction. But similar examples abound. We did not, for example, pay much attention to the recent <a href=\"http:\/\/www.who.int\/features\/2016\/yellow-fever-angola\/en\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">outbreak of yellow fever in Angola<\/a>\u2014unlikely as it was to hit the US\u2014especially compared with our attention to other diseases that we perceive as threatening to this country.<\/p>\n<p>So, recognizing these challenges, an attempt at a solution. If these are the reasons why we <em>do<\/em> call something a crisis, what are the reasons why we <em>should<\/em> call something a crisis? Three key factors come to mind: The problem must affect large numbers of people, it must threaten health over the long-term, and it must require the adoption of large-scale solutions.<\/p>\n<p>Climate change is perhaps one of the clearest examples of such a crisis. The overwhelming scientific consensus is that <a href=\"https:\/\/climate.nasa.gov\/evidence\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">climate change is real<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/climate.nasa.gov\/causes\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">that it is caused by human activity<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/climateandhealth\/effects\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">that it has already begun to undermine the health of populations in ways big and small<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/2016\/08\/quickly-climate-change-accelerating-167-maps\/\">and that it is accelerating<\/a>. This acceleration means that, as devastating as climate change currently is, its effects will only intensify in the long-term, harming ever-larger numbers of people. This crisis clearly agitates for innovative solutions from many sectors, including government and industry. Calling climate change a public health crisis can help to catalyze these solutions, and to bring attention to an urgent, generation-defining issue. There are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/2017\/02\/12\/housing-and-the-health-of-the-public\/\">many<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/2015\/06\/07\/on-health-inequalities\/\">other<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/2015\/02\/01\/guns-and-public-health\/\">problems<\/a> associated with climate change that justify the \u201ccrisis\u201d label, undermining the health of populations at a systemic level. These challenges, while perhaps not as acutely frightening as Ebola or mosquito-borne illness, nevertheless stand to do far more damage than these diseases, posing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/2017\/03\/12\/history-as-a-determinant-of-health\/\">long-term<\/a> risks to the health of populations.<\/p>\n<p>As our School engages more with the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.publichealthpost.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">broader public conversation<\/a> about the conditions that create healthy populations, a concern with the important\u2014with the crises that indeed affect large numbers of people, threaten health over the long-term, and require the adoption of large-scale solutions\u2014has colored our focus. Returning to the example of gun violence, we have been at the forefront of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bu.edu\/research\/articles\/busph-enough-gun-violence-campaign\/\">articulating<\/a> the clear danger it poses to the health of populations, expressing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/2016\/06\/20\/gun-control-another-place-where-race-matters\/\">the<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/dailyfreepress.com\/2014\/10\/07\/busph-researchers-find-correlation-between-gun-ownership-and-non-stranger-homicide\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">scale<\/a> of this crisis as we push for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/2016\/11\/15\/sph-gathers-public-health-leaders-to-tackle-gun-violence\/\">solutions<\/a>. This seems to me in line with our aspiration to maintain clarity of focus on the important, moving beyond the fog of the urgent.<\/p>\n<p>I hope everyone has a terrific week. Until next week.<\/p>\n<p>Warm regards,<\/p>\n<p>Sandro<\/p>\n<p>Sandro Galea, MD, DrPH<br \/>Dean and Robert A. Knox Professor<br \/>Boston University School of Public Health<br \/>Twitter:<span>\u00a0<\/span><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/sandrogalea\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@sandrogalea<\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Acknowledgement:\u00a0<\/em><em>I am grateful to Professor Emily Rothman, whose thinking helped inspire this piece and whose comments made this piece much better, and to Eric DelGizzo for his many contributions to this Dean\u2019s Note.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><\/em>Previous Dean\u2019s Notes are archived at: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/tag\/deans-note\/\">https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/tag\/deans-note\/<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What constitutes a crisis? How can we better apply the \u201cpublic health crisis\u201d label to keep focus on what matters most to the health of populations?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6463,"featured_media":68217,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","template":"","meta":{"bu_prepress_billboard":"","_bu_prepress_primary_term":"","_bu_prepress_primary_term_manual":""},"tags":[1729],"bu-publication":[3516],"sphnews-article-category":[3519,3527,3531],"sphnews-topic":[],"bu_edition":[],"media_type":[],"profile_tax":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bu-article\/102907"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bu-article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/bu-article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6463"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102907"}],"version-history":[{"count":14,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bu-article\/102907\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":191857,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bu-article\/102907\/revisions\/191857"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/68217"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102907"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102907"},{"taxonomy":"bu-publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bu-publication?post=102907"},{"taxonomy":"sphnews-article-category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/sphnews-article-category?post=102907"},{"taxonomy":"sphnews-topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/sphnews-topic?post=102907"},{"taxonomy":"bu_edition","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bu_edition?post=102907"},{"taxonomy":"media_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media_type?post=102907"},{"taxonomy":"profile_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/sph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/profile_tax?post=102907"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}