{"id":32844,"date":"2022-03-24T17:43:52","date_gmt":"2022-03-24T21:43:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bu.edu\/com\/?post_type=bu-article&#038;p=32844"},"modified":"2022-04-11T15:20:39","modified_gmt":"2022-04-11T19:20:39","slug":"calculating-media-influence","status":"publish","type":"bu-article","link":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/com\/articles\/calculating-media-influence\/","title":{"rendered":"Calculating Media Influence"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-drop-cap\">The mosquitoes are fighting\u2014and biting\u2014back. After years of being flooded with insecticides, the tiny, nibbling flies are becoming resistant to our chemical defenses. So scientists are testing an alternative to the chemical sprays: releasing genetically modified (GM) mosquitoes that only produce nonbiting offspring.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s a controversial approach. When plans to release GM mosquitoes in Florida first made headlines, they ran into stiff public opposition\u2014even forcing local referendum votes\u2014as fears swirled about unintended consequences harming people and local ecosystems. But, just as with other stories rich with scientific detail and social debates\u2014think COVID-19 vaccines\u2014where people get their news, and what news they trust, matters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cPeople might say, \u2018The news media don\u2019t have any facts anymore, people don\u2019t read news, they check out social media,\u2019\u201d says <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/com\/profile\/lei-guo\/\">Guo, Lei<\/a>, an associate professor of emerging media studies, who lists her family name first as is customary in her native China. Those assumptions, she\u2019s found, don\u2019t always hold true.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>An expert on the interplay between the media\u2014especially social media\u2014and public opinion, Guo uses big data research methods to study trust in journalism and how social media giants like Facebook and Twitter impact democracy. By leveraging computing power, she can sort through thousands\u2014sometimes millions\u2014of articles and posts to better understand mass media\u2019s influence. To figure out where the public was turning to get the buzz on GM mosquitoes, Guo compared online news coverage of the story with the debate on Twitter. With Weirui Wang, an associate professor at Florida International University, she looked at 464 news articles and thousands of tweets, finding Twitter had an \u201cinadequate discussion of risk\u201d when it came to the modified mosquitoes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While what they called elite (like the <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/\">New York Times<\/a><\/em>) and emerging (<em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.huffpost.com\/\">HuffPost<\/a><\/em>) news outlets plunged into reporting on topics as diverse as experimental dangers, cost-effectiveness and ethics, the Twitter debate remained mostly stuck on the potential health impacts. \u201cTo obtain a well-rounded perspective about an issue,\u201d wrote Guo and Wang, who published their findings in the Journal of Risk Research in August 2020, \u201cpeople may still want to access online news sites as their main source of information instead of relying only on Twitter.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And what\u2019s true for people scrambling to understand GM mosquitoes may also say something about how their views are shaped on other topics, like the coronavirus, gun violence or presidential elections\u2014topics Guo has also studied.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A trained journalist and a founding member of BU\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/cds-faculty\/\">Faculty of Computing &amp; Data Sciences<\/a>, Guo notes a common thread between her work as a reporter and as a researcher: \u201cWe\u2019re curious,\u201d she says. \u201cThe job of a journalist is to gather data, interview people to learn their thoughts. As a researcher, I\u2019m doing the same thing, but the method I use to get an answer is more systematic.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As well as studying media impact, she\u2019s developing tools to help journalists find stories in the world\u2019s data\u2014and navigate a polarized world.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3>A Billion Tweets<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>A decade or two ago, studying media impact was relatively straightforward\u2014if a little laborious. Researchers would watch a handful of core news channels or shows, sift through newspaper articles and poll audiences and readers for their views on different subjects. Then came aggregators and blogs and podcasts and Twitter. Not to mention the proliferation of fake news. Now, researchers can access billions of tweets\u2014500 million new missives are posted on Twitter every day, according to Internet Live Stats\u2014not just for news, but to gauge ever-changing shifts and patterns in public opinion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWhen I started my journey in this field, we still used a lot of traditional methods, for instance manual content analysis,\u201d says Guo, who began studying media effects\u2014an academic term for mass media\u2019s influence\u2014as a graduate student research assistant at the University of Texas at Austin. \u201cBut there\u2019s no way for me to go through a billion tweets, so I started to explore computational methods.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignright size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"768\" height=\"460\" src=\"\/com\/files\/2022\/03\/guo-lei-card-inside.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-32954\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/com\/files\/2022\/03\/guo-lei-card-inside.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/com\/files\/2022\/03\/guo-lei-card-inside-636x381.jpg 636w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><figcaption> An expert on the interplay between the media and public opinion, Guo, Lei uses big data research methods to study trust in journalism and how social media giants like Facebook and Twitter impact democracy. Photo by Cydney Scott for Boston University Photography<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Working with computer scientists, she\u2019s helped design and perfect software that can analyze streams of data. For instance, in a recent study examining the link between how media outlets frame stories on gun violence and the issue\u2019s prominence among midterm election voters, Guo used a computer program to evaluate 42,917 news articles. She was looking to see if there was any difference in influence between articles that just reported on a single incident, one shooting or the impact on one victim\u2014 what researchers call an episodic frame\u2014and those stories weighing bigger societal issues and questions, called a thematic frame. Instead of manually sorting all the articles by their angle, as well as by outlet type\u2014conservative, liberal, nonpartisan, mainstream\u2014Guo and her fellow BU researchers taught a computer program to do the work for them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe start with a sample of articles and manually go through them and classify them,\u201d says Guo. \u201cThen we use methods in computer science, like machine learning, to train a machine model to classify all of the unlabeled data.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The program, nicknamed BERT\u2014for Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers\u2014provided them with a much more comprehensive dataset than humans alone could amass. The researchers then combined that information with the results of a general population survey that asked people about their media use habits and views on gun violence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe correlate the two types of data to see whether exposure to certain media or certain media\u2019s framing will influence how they think,\u201d says Guo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They\u2019re techniques she\u2019s also applied to the study of COVID and fake news, tracking differences between pandemic coverage in various countries and the power of misinformation to sway public debate. In one COVID project, Guo and her team analyzed the topics making headlines in countries as diverse as the United States, Egypt, China and Germany. They then compiled all of the information into an interactive world map (<a href=\"https:\/\/covid19.philemerge.com\/\">covid19.philemerge.com<\/a>), allowing users to drill down and see how the news focus shifted in each country over the first three months of the pandemic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3>The Power of Journalism<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>By combing through such rich datasets, Guo can often uncover nuances that might have been missed by comparable studies in the past. It also gives her much more robust results. The gun violence study, which was published in 2021 in <em>Mass Communication and Society<\/em>, found that mainstream media\u2014the <em>New York Times<\/em>, the <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/\">Washington Post<\/a><\/em>\u2014can still shift opinion, even on heavily polarized issues. But there was an asterisk: although those legacy outlets could move the views of conservatives by using an episodic frame, thematic stories tended to be a dud in changing opinions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cPeople already have their positions, they\u2019re tired of the arguments,\u201d says Guo. \u201cIt\u2019s really hard to change their opinions, but if you show them incidents or individual stories, maybe that will. Those kinds of articles have more of an emotional appeal.\u201d On the flip side, seeing an article in the partisan media\u2014even an emotion-packed one\u2014could cement the views of that same conservative, leading them to believe gun violence was less of an important issue. Overall, says Guo, it shows that despite the rise of social media, \u201cjournalists do have the power to change people\u2019s minds.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-style-teal-background-right\"><p>Human reasoning is still very, very important\u2014we cannot rely on machines for everything. Data science just provides us with a new tool to understand the world.<\/p><cite>Guo, Lei<\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>In a new project, she\u2019s applying that same nuanced approach to the life cycle of local news stories after publication, analyzing how articles grounded in fact can become twisted into fiction-filled fake news. In October 2021, Guo and a team of researchers at BU, Temple University and the University of Illinois at Chicago were awarded a $750,000 National Science Foundation grant to use data science techniques\u2014 including natural language processing and network analysis\u2014to watch articles as they\u2019re tweeted and retweeted, aggregated and rewritten.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>News outlets might have a good handle on the immediate impact and readership of an article, says Guo, but not how the story continues to evolve. And, she says, what happens to a story after it hits the web can determine its impact, and the public\u2019s trust in the media overall: \u201cJournalists don\u2019t have control over their news after they publish it. After several layers of transmission, a good story can become something fake or misleading.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3>User-Friendly Data Science<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Guo hopes her work can give journalists new insights, but is also working on software and other tools they can use to increase the impact of their reporting. The projects, like her teaching\u2014she leads courses on computational and communication research, communication theories and the design of interactive digital products\u2014aim to democratize access to computational methods. One, just in its early stages, will detect bias in articles\u2014that\u2019s being developed with the technology incubator and experiential learning lab, BU Spark! Another aims to give all reporters access to the computerpowered big data analysis Guo uses in her research.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019re developing a user-friendly tool, so they can upload their data\u2014it could be media content, news articles, political speeches\u2014and in a few clicks they will have their results,\u201d says Guo. \u201cIf they have tons of data and want to see the topics that emerge, they don\u2019t need to have any computer science skills or knowledge\u2014they can just follow our instructions.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The open-source program will be available for free online. In a world in which processing and understanding big data have become central to so many jobs, from journalist and social media manager to marketer and user experience designer, the program has the potential to benefit anyone looking for trends or studying sentiment analysis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But Guo also recognizes computing\u2019s limits. Sometimes, she admits, you just have to work through a problem the old-fashioned way\u2014though perhaps her tools can spare you some shoe leather.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-end-of-article\">\u201cHuman reasoning is still very, very important\u2014we cannot rely on machines for everything,\u201d she says. \u201cData science just provides us with a new tool to understand the world.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The mosquitoes are fighting\u2014and biting\u2014back. After years of being flooded with insecticides, the tiny, nibbling flies are becoming resistant to&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1654,"featured_media":32952,"template":"","meta":{"bu_prepress_billboard":"","_bu_prepress_primary_term":"","_bu_prepress_primary_term_manual":""},"categories":[1481,36,177],"tags":[1409,1670,31],"bu-publication":[],"discipline-type":[],"bu_edition":[],"media_type":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bu-article\/32844"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bu-article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/bu-article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1654"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bu-article\/32844\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32960,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bu-article\/32844\/revisions\/32960"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/32952"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32844"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32844"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32844"},{"taxonomy":"bu-publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bu-publication?post=32844"},{"taxonomy":"discipline-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/discipline-type?post=32844"},{"taxonomy":"bu_edition","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bu_edition?post=32844"},{"taxonomy":"media_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media_type?post=32844"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}