{"id":10683,"date":"2024-04-08T09:28:58","date_gmt":"2024-04-08T13:28:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/ciss\/?p=10683"},"modified":"2024-04-08T09:40:34","modified_gmt":"2024-04-08T13:40:34","slug":"10683","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/ciss\/2024\/04\/08\/10683\/","title":{"rendered":"BU Economist Shows Immigrants Help Fuel Local Economies"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"head\"><span>This article by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/brink\/author\/andrew-thurston\/\">Andrew Thurston<\/a> was originally published in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/articles\/2024\/do-immigrants-and-immigration-help-the-economy\/?utm_campaign=bu_today&amp;utm_source=email_20240407&amp;utm_medium=intrograph&amp;utm_content=research_socialsciences\">THE BRINK<\/a> on April 4, 2024.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"\/ciss\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-08-at-9.26.57\u202fAM-636x310.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1119\" height=\"545\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-10685\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/ciss\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-08-at-9.26.57\u202fAM-636x310.png 636w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/ciss\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-08-at-9.26.57\u202fAM-1024x498.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/ciss\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-08-at-9.26.57\u202fAM-768x374.png 768w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/ciss\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-08-at-9.26.57\u202fAM-800x389.png 800w, https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/ciss\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-08-at-9.26.57\u202fAM.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1119px) 100vw, 1119px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>When Americans mark their presidential election ballots later this year, immigration will be top of mind\u2014it\u2019s the nation\u2019s number one issue, according to<span>\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/news.gallup.com\/poll\/611135\/immigration-surges-top-important-problem-list.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">pollster Gallup<\/a>. And one of the toughest talkers on the topic is former president and presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump. He\u2019s built his political career on calls to secure the border and defend America against what he says are immigration\u2019s dangers, warning of<span>\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov\/briefings-statements\/remarks-president-trump-modernizing-immigration-system-stronger-america\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">shrinking wages<\/a><span>\u00a0<\/span>and<span>\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.houstonchronicle.com\/politics\/texas\/politifact\/article\/politifact-trump-immigration-social-security-19362668.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">stretched benefits programs<\/a>. \u201cWhen you have millions of people coming in,\u201d he<span>\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.politifact.com\/factchecks\/2024\/feb\/23\/donald-trump\/do-immigrants-crossing-the-southern-border-union\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">recently told a crowd in Michigan<\/a>, \u201cthey\u2019re going to take your jobs.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Immigrants stealing work from existing residents is a well-worn contention\u2014with a history<span>\u00a0<\/span><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.thisamericanlife.org\/extras\/we-deported-half-a-million-people-to-mexico-in-the-1930s-did-it-create-jobs\" target=\"_blank\">stretching back at least 100 years<\/a><span>\u00a0<\/span>right up to<span>\u00a0<\/span><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/politics\/2024\/03\/25\/follow-misinformation-trail-about-tyson-foods-hiring\/\" target=\"_blank\">present-day accusations that Tyson Foods<\/a><span>\u00a0<\/span>could replace American workers with immigrant labor. But it\u2019s also a false one, according to<span>\u00a0<\/span><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/econ\/profile\/tarek-hassan\/\" target=\"_blank\">Boston University economist Tarek Hassan<\/a>, whose recent studies have shown immigrants actually help fuel local economies by sparking innovation and driving up wages. The effects of a migrant influx can last for decades, too, enhancing a region\u2019s attractiveness to foreign investors and opening long-term export opportunities, even 100 years later. Oftentimes, when immigrants move into an area, so do native workers, drawn by the promise of an invigorated economy.<\/p>\n<p>In one recent paper, Hassan, a BU College of Arts &amp; Sciences professor of economics, also showed that living near people from other countries can shift native views on people of foreign descent, decreasing hostility and prejudice, while boosting empathy and knowledge. Residents who live alongside those people may also be less likely to vote for political candidates who demonize them.<\/p>\n<p>But there are important details that complicate the picture\u2014at least from an economics perspective. Hassan\u2019s research has shown that not everyone benefits the same way from a rush of migration, and that may strike a chord with some of the millions of voters who want to stem the tide. Despite the overall positive effects to a community, the flow of new residents does nothing to boost the wages of existing workers who don\u2019t have a high school diploma. And the education and skill level of migrants matters, too: more education equals a more positive economic effect.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe headline finding is that immigrants are good for local economic growth and, in particular, educated migrants are doing a lot of that,\u201d says Hassan. \u201cAt the same time, the data point to why some people might have problems with this. It\u2019s a lopsided story where the immigration we\u2019ve experienced in the last 40 years has been disproportionately benefiting the more educated local population. We\u2019re trying to add some facts to the debate.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2>Immigration\u2019s Impact on Economic Growth<\/h2>\n<p>Hassan\u2019s family story is one of migration\u2014of crossing borders and navigating shifting national boundaries. \u201cI come from a family with a rather complex migration history,\u201d says Hassan. His father was an immigrant to Germany from Egypt, his mother a refugee from East to West Germany. Hassan was raised in Germany, but moved to the United States for graduate school and has now lived here for nearly 20 years. \u201cYou have to go back many generations to find somebody who was actually born in the same country they died in,\u201d he says of his family. \u201cBut I think that\u2019s true for a large chunk of the population.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>He admits he finds the national debate on immigration frustrating. \u201cThere\u2019s very little interest in nuanced information\u2014on both sides of the debate. There\u2019s this view among some people that all immigration is good and should be encouraged, and there\u2019s this other view that all immigration is terrible. There\u2019s not much interest in listening to each other.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>With his research, he hopes to foster a more informed conversation.<\/p>\n<p>In a<span>\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nber.org\/system\/files\/working_papers\/w27075\/w27075.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">working paper for the National Bureau of Economic Research<\/a>, Hassan and his colleagues examined decades of US migration data to look at the impact of new arrivals on economic growth, wage levels, and innovation, which they measured through the number of new patents filed in a particular area. More new ideas, he says, generally means more new businesses and products: \u201cWe find that when you have 10,000 extra immigrants arriving in a given US county, the number of patents filed per capita in that county dramatically increases, by something like 25 percent.\u201d It was an effect that rippled out as far as 150 miles. The research team also estimated that, since 1965, migration of foreign nationals to the US may have contributed to an additional 5 percent growth in wages. They\u2019re currently preparing the findings for journal publication.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMore immigrants creates more economic growth,\u201d says Hassan. \u201cAnd because it creates more economic growth locally, it raises the wages of the people who are already there.\u201d<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-bu-pullquote brink-block-bu-pullquote alignwide has-image-focus-center-middle\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-bu-pullquote-inner\">\n<figure><\/figure>\n<blockquote>\n<div class=\"container-lockup\">\n<div class=\"container-icon-outer\">\n<div class=\"container-icon-inner\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"container-text\">\n<hr \/>\n<div class=\"quote-sizing\">More immigrants creates more economic growth. And because it creates more economic growth locally, it raises the wages of the people who are already there.<\/div>\n<footer class=\"caption\">Tarek Hassan<\/footer>\n<hr \/>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>In<span>\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nber.org\/system\/files\/working_papers\/w21847\/revisions\/w21847.rev0.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">an earlier paper<\/a>, Hassan had looked at migration\u2019s impact over an even longer term: 100 years or more. With an international research team, he studied how the pull of one area for migrants from the same country could help attract foreign investment to that region for years afterward.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou can still see today that places where Germans settled within the Midwest 100 years ago are much better at attracting foreign investment from Germany than places that didn\u2019t see that migration,\u201d says Hassan. The same is true for communities that had a concentration of Chinese or Polish migration, for example. \u201cEthnic diversity in that sense is really good for the ability of local firms to conduct business abroad, to both receive and make foreign investments.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2>Immigration Fears<\/h2>\n<p>But what about those whose wages aren\u2019t getting an upgrade or who\u2014<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/newshour\/politics\/ap-fact-check-trump-plays-on-immigration-myths\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">to quote Trump<\/a>\u2014fear a wave of immigrants may threaten their way of life, bringing in \u201clanguages that nobody in this country has ever heard of\u201d or \u201cpoisoning the blood of our country\u201d?<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOn average, the people who are most scared of immigration are typically the people who don\u2019t actually live in very ethnically diverse places,\u201d says Hassan.<\/p>\n<p>In a<span>\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.aeaweb.org\/articles?id=10.1257\/aer.20220376\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">study published in the<span>\u00a0<\/span><em>American Economic Review<\/em><\/a><span>\u00a0<\/span>in February, Hassan and his fellow researchers investigated how having neighbors of foreign descent, specifically Arab Muslims, shaped prejudices and attitudes. They surveyed more than 5,000 Americans about their contact with Arab Muslims and knowledge of Islam, and sifted through data on migration, charitable donations, implicit prejudice, and support for Trump and the so-called \u201cMuslim ban.\u201d Hassan and his colleagues found that living among a large Arab Muslim population decreased prejudice, reduced support for policies targeting Arab Muslims, and increased knowledge of Islam and Arab Muslims\u2014it even resulted in people making more donations to charities supporting their neighbors\u2019 ancestral countries.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cLong-term exposure to people with a given ethnic background makes you more informed about them, maybe makes you like them more,\u201d says Hassan. \u201cIt also increases political support for concerns these minorities might have. It traces a lot of xenophobia to people who don\u2019t interact with people with foreign ancestry.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>But he says his findings on<span>\u00a0<\/span><em>which<\/em><span>\u00a0<\/span>immigrants spark the biggest economic impact, and<span>\u00a0<\/span><em>which<\/em><span>\u00a0<\/span>domestic workers benefit from that boost, should perhaps prompt a discussion about where to focus immigration policies. President Joe Biden has<span>\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/short-reads\/2022\/01\/11\/key-facts-about-u-s-immigration-policies-and-bidens-proposed-changes\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">suggested expanding access to family-based immigration<\/a>, for example, but that might not be the best economic choice, according to Hassan.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOne thing to think about, particularly given our findings about the effects of high- versus low-skilled migration,\u201d he says, \u201cis whether it\u2019s worth having a debate about how much of migration should be family-based versus skill-based.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-background has-very-light-gray-background-color\"><em>Hassan\u2019s National Bureau of Economic Research working paper was published with Konrad Burchardi of Stockholm University, Thomas Chaney of University of Southern California, Stephen Terry of University of Michigan, and Lisa Tarquinio (CAS\u201911, Pardee\u201911, GRS\u201921) of Western University; the paper on migrants and foreign investment was published with Burchardi and Chaney; and the<\/em><span>\u00a0<\/span>American Economic Review<span>\u00a0<\/span><em>paper was published with Leonardo Bursztyn of University of Chicago, Chaney, and Aakaash Rao of Harvard University.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This article by Andrew Thurston was originally published in the THE BRINK on April 4, 2024.\u00a0 When Americans mark their presidential election ballots later this year, immigration will be top of mind\u2014it\u2019s the nation\u2019s number one issue, according to\u00a0pollster Gallup. And one of the toughest talkers on the topic is former president and presumptive GOP [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22310,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/ciss\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10683"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/ciss\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/ciss\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/ciss\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/22310"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/ciss\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10683"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/ciss\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10683\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10694,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/ciss\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10683\/revisions\/10694"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/ciss\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10683"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/ciss\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10683"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/ciss\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10683"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}