The Group of 20 industrialized nations wrapped up their meeting in Toronto promising to have their government deficits by 2013 and “stabilize” debt loads by 2016, signaling to domestic political audiences and international markets that they’re serious about reducing stimulus spending. But economics Professor Laurence Kotlikoff, author of “Jimmy Stewart is Dead” about the future of the banking industry, says the G-20 missed the mark by not focusing on the critical future problems of paying pensions and health care benefits.
“Had the G-20 agreed to do long-term fiscal gap accounting and to develop policies that eliminated those fiscal gaps, it would have done something real. What’s it’s really done is agreed to delay making the critical policy changes needed to avoid insolvency.”
Contact Laurence Kotlikoff, 617-353-4002, email@example.com
Next week’s meeting of the Group of 20 industrial nations in Toronto will face competing efforts to deal with the fragile global economic recovery. International relations Professor Kevin Gallagher, currently a visiting professor at Tsinghua University in Beijing, writes in a Financial Times commentary that developing a sovereign debt crisis management regime should be at the top of the G-20’s agenda.
“The overarching goal of such an effort should be to strike a single global standard for balanced and timely restructuring that satisfies the needs of creditors while enabling debtor nations the ability to recover and grow. This is where the G20 can make its mark.”
Contact Kevin Gallagher, 617-353-9348, firstname.lastname@example.org
British Prime Minister Gordon Brown predicts a global bank tax may by enacted as soon as this summer at the G-20 meeting of economic powers. Law Professor Daniel Berman, director of the Graduate Tax Program and a former U.S. Treasury deputy international tax counsel, says establishing such a tax could be harder than it sounds.
“When I worked for the Joint Committee on Taxation of the U.S. Congress 20 years ago we tried to develop a Securities Transactions Excise Tax (STET), but we couldn’t come up with a workable design. But if the same new tax is imposed globally, or at least across the G20, tax avoidance will be much more challenging.”
Contact Daniel Berman, 617-353-3105, email@example.com
Law Professor Cornelius Hurley, director of the Morin Center for Banking and Financial Law and former counsel to the Fed Board of Governors, says the G-20 communique outlining new international financial regulatory reforms marks a new era.
“The specificity of the G-20 pact signals a new era of cross-border cooperation on an array of regulatory matters. On a broad range of issues – from banking to hedge funds to systemic risk – look for U.S. hegemony to be replaced by international consultation and cooperation.”
Contact Cornelius Hurley, 617-353-5427, firstname.lastname@example.org