The ISCIP Analyst
Behind the Breaking News
Volume III Number 3 (February 19, 1998)
When asked what had been the most difficult period for the Yel'tsin family over the past few years, Katya perhaps surprisingly skipped over the president's bypass surgery, citing instead the June 1996 dismissal of Korzhakov and Barsukov. "The entire family was in a state of shock," claimed Katya, "and it took us a long time to recover from the blow."
In an interview with Moskovskaya pravda (6 Jan 98; FBIS-SOV-98-029), Tarpishchev noted a "coincidence" in the timing of his regained prominence and Berezovsky's ouster, but declined to connect the events, claiming he shares no common areas of interest or activity with Berezovsky. Any ill will Berezovsky may hold for the tennis pro Tarpishchev explained as the clash between his role as a prominent sports figure and the interaction of politics and sports.
Tarpishchev's appointment last year as an adviser to Moscow Mayor Yuri Luzhkov apparently provided a suitable platform for his renewed involvement in national sporting events. In addition to captaining the men's Davis Cup team, Tarpishchev is also once again in (at least partial) control of the Kremlin Cup tennis tournament. This position provides significant access to Kremlin personnel, and indeed Tarpishchev cites presidential chief of staff Valentin Yumashev as one of his "friends left in the government."
On the subject of another of his well-known associates, Tarpishchev believes Aleksandr Korzhakov remains loyal to the president, despite the scandalous memoir he penned last year. Tarpishchev notes, perhaps ominously, that Korzhakov did not "cover even one-tenth of the information" in his possession, and adds that he himself has many suitcases of compromising material that could someday form his own memoir.
Tarpishchev also weighs in on the subject of the Chechen war and Korzhakov's alleged hawkish role in the decision to resort to military intervention. According to Tarpishchev, Yel'tsin announced the decision to send troops into Chechnya during a dinner with Korzhakov, at which Tarpishchev was present. Korzhakov's response was emphatic disapproval of the idea. The truth of this testimony is difficult to gauge unfortunately, especially given its context in an interview, in which Tarpishchev's possible political agendas are only thinly veiled.
Borodin had kept a low profile since last year when he clashed with then newly appointed First Deputy Boris Nemtsov over the procurement of Russian, rather than foreign-made, luxury cars for administration officials. In a reference to the conflict with Nemtsov, Borodin is quoted as saying, "If I am ordered to do so, I will make officials use Volgas or even reindeer." It might be interesting to follow up and see just how many officials complied with the president's instructions and traded in their Mercedes for a Volga (or reindeer).
The RV profile provides quite complimentary insights of Borodin such as he "is a born organizer" and he has "a keen perception of Russia's culture." If Borodin's administrative position required public or legislative oversight, this article might have reflected a perhaps heavy-handed public relations initiative. Borodin, however, serves at the pleasure of a president, who has just recently announced his intention not to seek re-election. This article may therefore best be interpreted as a reminder to future presidential candidates of the potential power and influence of the man who administers the Kremlin's perks.
Streletsky also bemoaned the fate of the Presidential Security Service in the wake of his and Korzhakov's departures, claiming that its "entire skeleton is gone." He likewise saves a few choice words for Yevgeni Savostyanov, deputy chief of the Presidential Staff who supervises personnel selection: "He is also a member of the 'banker's team', and does only what he is ordered to."
Streletsky is currently an assistant to Duma Deputy Aleksandr Korzhakov.
Baturin ready for takeoff?
A final decision on Baturin's participation in an upcoming space flight is due later this month.
Justice Minister Sergei Stepashin, who once headed the security services, announced the re-subordination of the Federal Border Guards to the Federal Security Service. Stepashin characterized the reorganization as "quite normal," and added that the initial decision to separate the border guards from the security organs "was dictated by political reasons." (Interfax, 27 Jan 98; FBIS-SOV-98-027)
The Border Guards were separated out from the security ministry in December 1993, at the same time the ministry itself was "disbanded" and reorganized as the Federal Counterintelligence Service (FCS). At the time, President Yel'tsin called the security ministry "unreformable," and its dissolution was believed to be a repercussion of its poor performance during the September-October confrontation between the executive and parliament. Sergei Stepashin became first deputy director of the newly formed FCS in December 1993, but quickly became director when Nikolai Golushko was dismissed some three months later.
by Susan J. Cavan
Primakov positive on EU talks
"Everything we expected from meetings within the Russia-EU Cooperation Council in Brussels has come true, it was a successful day," Russian Foreign Minister Yevgeni Primakov told an ITAR-TASS correspondent on his arrival in Paris on a working visit. The minister pointed out that there was no need for any hierarchy, but there is a need for the OSCE to coordinate the activities of all other organizations operating in this sphere -- NATO, the Council of Europe and others. Primakov concluded, the formation of an independent European center is under way and Russia needs to be "sufficiently close to this center." (ITAR-TASS World Service, 1749 GMT, 27 Jan 98; FBIS-SOV-98-027)
US-Iraq confrontation sparks Russian responses
In a more diplomatic vein, Primakov said at a meeting with correspondents in Moscow that the situation concerning Iraq "is taking on an ominous character, because there is more and more information to the effect that a strike against Iraq may become a reality. We think that this might be a very serious error that will produce many negative results affecting not only the region, but also the whole system of international relations." According to Primakov, Russia favors the destruction of Iraq's weapons of mass destruction. "But we think that, at present, this aim can be achieved by diplomatic means," the minister said. (ITAR-TASS World Service, 1318 GMT, 2 Feb 98; FBIS-SOV-98-033)
In its statement on the situation around Iraq, the State Duma "decisively condemns attempts to blackmail Iraq by threatening to employ nuclear weapons, regardless of who is making such attempts." In the resolution on the aggravation of the situation in Iraq, the State Duma once again condemned the use of force in the region and said that "in case military force is employed against Iraq without a UN Security Council's authorization, Russia will consider itself free from its commitments under UN Security Council's resolution on sanctions against Iraq." Meanwhile, Primakov said he opposed the resolution's provision concerning Russia's unilateral withdrawing from the regime of sanctions. (ITAR-TASS, 1742 GMT, 3 Feb 98; FBIS-SOV-98-034)
Primakov: Russia backs 'PLO Line' on self-rule
DOMESTIC ISSUES AND LEGISLATIVE BRANCH
New head of Krasnoyarsk legislature elected
Aleksandr Uss, the leader of the "Union of Deed and Order" movement, was elected chairman of the Krasnoyarsk territorial legislature. The legislature had its first session after the elections of December 1997. Uss defeated a candidate of the Russian Communist Party by five votes. Before the election as the legislature chairman, Uss was the vice-governor of the Krasnoyarsk territory. (ITAR-TASS, 1933 GMT, 9 Jan 98; FBIS-SOV-98-009)
The commission's statement points to the partnership charter between the US and the Baltic states recently signed in Washington, and the Baltic states' refusal of Russian security guarantees as evidence of NATO's expansionist tendencies. The commission believes the Russia-NATO cooperation agreements are actually a "smoke screen for the Western [countries' re-drafting] of dividing lines in Europe."
The commission's statement points to the development of "apartheid systems in Latvia and Estonia where thousands of people are denied political rights on ethnic grounds" [read ethnic Russians].
If the history of Russian/Baltic states relations is not enough to explain Baltic hesitance in embracing Russian security "guarantees," the Duma's hostile attitude toward their internal affairs certainly should be. (Interfax, 1054 GMT, 15 Jan 98; FBIS-SOV-98-015)
Kremlin asks Federation Council to support election reform
Stroev explained that the reason for the present 50/50 system of elections (50 percent elected by single-member districts, and 50 percent seated by national party lists) is that, when drafting the present system, the young Russian democracy desired to rid itself of single-party communist rule. But Stroev argues that the system has gone too far the other way and has effectively eliminated any party order. The proposed changes would make the Duma more responsive to the will of the people and more democratic. It should also be noted that such changes would end the representative role of parties in Russian politics, and mean the construction of a system of geographic representation akin to the American House of Representatives.
Second only to the question of land reform, the reorganization of the system of elections is probably the most important "structural" problem left to be resolved. It is equally clear that the present members of the Duma, especially the communists and the followers of Zhirinovsky, will do everything possible to prevent any changes in the system of elections that would mean the end of their dominance in the Duma. Not surprisingly, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF) leader G. Zyuganov has already stated that the Duma will never allow the existing procedure of electing its deputies to be changed. For this reason, Yel'tsin is attempting an end run of the Duma by soliciting the support of the regions through the Federation Council and by courting leaders of various regions directly.
Also, Yel'tsin's appeal to the less-than-independent judicial system for constitutional "clarification" can be understood as an attempt to change the electoral system without involving the Duma. The fact that the present system of elections is the result of laws drafted subsequent to the ratification of the Constitution and, therefore, is not a constitutional question, would seem to suggest that the Constitutional Court cannot really be involved in this process. But a presidential decree supported by the regions and the Federation Council, and "legitimated" by a ruling from the Constitutional Court, could, possibly, be enough to change the system of elections, or at least provide cause for a nationwide referendum on the question. (Moskovskaya pravda, 16 Jan 98, p. 1; FBIS-SOV-98-019)
Duma rejects bill on national symbols
Only 108 deputies supported the constitutional bill submitted by the president where 300 votes were required for passage. The white-blue-and-red flag was proposed as the national flag, a two-headed eagle was proposed as the national emblem and music from a song by Mikhail Glinka was proposed as the anthem (Interfax, 1228 GMT, 23 Jan 98; FBIS-SOV-98-023).
While national symbols are very important, debates over their forms can also be very divisive. At this point in the development of Russian democracy, a battle over symbols can serve only to polarize the legislature, making it nearly impossible for the real business of the country to continue. In fact, with an executive branch proven ready and willing to rule by decree, now is not the time for the legislature to paralyze itself over an issue of little concern to the average citizen. Luckily for everyone involved, the Big Four (the consultative council which includes the president, prime minister, speaker of the Duma, and chairman of the Federation Council) have agreed to table the debate by referring it to an independent commission for further study. (ITAR-TASS World Service, 1133 GMT, 29 Jan 98; FBIS-SOV-98-029).
Sergeev visits Germany
Defense Minister Igor Sergeev completed a two-day visit to Germany on 29 January 1998. Although the visit was well received by both militaries, Marshall Sergeev denounced German, Polish and Danish plans for a joint corps. (Interfax, 1958 GMT, 29 Jan 98; FBIS-SOV-98-029)
Spacecraft numbers affected by planned budget cuts
Troop movements on Dagestani-Chechen border
In other moves near the Chechen border, Air Force Commander Colonel General Anatoly Kornukov said nuclear weapons had been removed from the airbase at Mozdok, in North Ossetia-Alania, just 10 kilometers north of the Chechen border. Four TU-95MS Bear bombers remain at the base and the air force commander said these aircraft would be moved "if a threat arises" from the Chechens. General Kornukov was on a tour of the North Caucasus Military District to inspect air force readiness to counter terrorist attacks from Chechnya. (Jamestown Foundation Monitor, 6 Feb 98)
Personnel issues profiled
Highlighting the continuing pay problems facing the military, the defense ministry has proposed a new plan to pay junior officers. Colonels and lieutenant colonels would lose benefits such as quarterly bonuses, holiday and housing subsidies; the money would be transferred to pay junior officers. Of note is that general officers would be not be affected by this proposal. (Jamestown Foundation Monitor, 6 Feb 98)
by CDR Curtis Stevens
NEWLY INDEPENDENT STATES
In Yalta, the city council refused to implement Kuchma's decree to appoint Marchenko as acting mayor, since council members claimed his appointment was in violation of Ukraine's constitution and their authority. Instead, 20 members of the council barricaded themselves in Yalta's city hall, which was subsequently stormed by firefighters and the National Guard armed with assault rifles. (NTV, 1100 GMT, 3 Feb 98; FBIS-SOV-98-034) Many members of the council were subsequently detained, including several deputies from the Party of Economic Revival, which constitutes a two-thirds majority in Yalta's city council. Their location is unknown. (ORT, 0900 GMT, 12 Feb 98; British Broadcasting Company)
In addition to announcing that early elections will be held, the Ukrainian parliament made several amendments to the law "On the Supreme Soviet of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea," ex post facto legalizing many of President Kuchma's decrees concerning the region over the past few weeks. Crimean MPs can now be suspended if they are recalled by their electors. The amendments also prohibit the parliament's speaker, his assistants and the committee heads from working in profitable enterprises. (ITAR-TASS, 1428 GMT, 10 Feb 98; FBIS-SOV-98-041) However, the Crimean Supreme Council will still be elected through a mixed majority and proportional (50/50) electoral system, which will ensure that the ethnic Russians living in the region will not dominate the Crimean parliament. President Kuchma said that it was better to maintain a majority system, under which non-permanent Ukrainian residents of the region can be elected. (Infobank, 2124 GMT, 22 Jan 98; FBIS-SOV-98-022) Oleksandr Moroz, speaker of the Ukrainian parliament, criticized the current system, noting that it "showed disrespect for the citizens of the peninsula" by stating they were not "politically ready" to choose their own representatives. (ITAR-TASS, 1946 GMT, 24 Jan 98; FBIS-SOV-98-024)
On 12 February, Ukrainian Interior Minister Yuri Kravshenko and special troops, including the Berkut (golden eagle) and Kobra divisions, were sent in to "normalize the situation in Yalta." Kravshenko said that his forces would remain on alert until the 29 March elections. (UNIAN, 1140 GMT, 13 Feb 98; British Broadcasting Company)
Kuchma's hard-handed tactics have also given Crimeans further impetus to secede. On 5 February the Crimean Supreme Soviet supported a proposal to once again hold a referendum on secession which will be included with the 29 March parliamentary elections. (Radio Rossii Network, 0300 GMT, 5 Feb 98; FBIS-SOV-98-036) If the Ukrainian government does not interfere in the referendum, it could possibly pass this time around. A recent poll by a Crimean political institute found that more than half of those surveyed thought Ukraine's policy toward the peninsula was "colonial".(ITAR-TASS, 1829 GMT, 14 Feb 98; FBIS-SOV-98-045)
US pressure on Ukraine builds to halt nuclear technology transfer
Ukraine desperately needs so that it may shut down the Chernobyl reactor.
Earlier the Clinton administration had offered Ukraine "a package of small business loans, Export-Import Bank credits and joint ventures" as well as expanded military and space cooperation between the two countries, to prevent the sale. (International Herald Tribune, 9 Feb 98)
Ukrainian officials said that a final decision on whether to supply the reactors will be made in the next two to three weeks. They defended the sale by stating Turboaton intends to take part only in "the electrical cycle of the Russian-Iranian contract and has nothing to do with the nuclear cycle." (UNIAN, 1510 GMT, 14 Feb 98; British Broadcasting Company)
Russian Duma delays ratification of Friendship Treaty
Allegations have appeared in the Russian press that the Russian foreign ministry has encouraged the Duma to delay the Black Sea agreement until the Ukrainian parliament gives its final approval to the fleet's division, which has stalled in the Ukrainian parliament.
A spokesman for the Foreign Ministry, Gennadi Tarasov, stated that the ministry "believes that the treaty, although not yet ratified by the Russian State Duma is already positively influencing the general atmosphere of Russian-Ukrainian relations" (ITAR-TASS, 1745 GMT, 12 Feb 98; British Broadcasting Company) and that parliamentary hearings on the treaty are scheduled for 3 March, after which it will be referred to the Duma for ratification.
To further accommodate Tiraspol, Chisinau also removed one of its negotiators to whom Dniestr officials had objected: Vitalie Bruma, a deputy in the interior ministry.
The talks were almost halted before they could even resume due to a proclamation of statehood by the Dniestr authorities, which Chisinau sees as a direct violation of prior normalization agreements signed in Moscow. A meeting scheduled between Moldovan President Petru Lucinschi and Dniestr's leader Igor Smirnov was halted, so that Moldovan officials and their Russian, Ukrainian and OSCE moderators could prepare a reply. (Basapress, 13 Feb 98; British Broadcasting Company)
This was the culmination of several retaliatory measures between the two which began on 1 February, when Moldova began to delay freight entering into the Dniestr region. (RIA, 1134 GMT 13 Feb 98; British Broadcasting Company) In response, Smirnov decreed on 7 February that all foreigners, including Moldovan citizens, arriving in the region who do not reside there permanently will have to register within a three-hour period and pay a ten dollar duty. (RIA, 1037 GMT, 7 Feb 98; British Broadcasting Company) He also imposed a tax on all goods coming through the region to Moldova. (ITAR-TASS, 1523 GMT, 12 Feb 98)
Future hopes for reunification of Moldova and Romania foiled?
The treaty recognizes the common language and historical heritage of the two states. Moldova insisted that no references be made to the 1939 Molotov-Ribbentrop pact, which led to the annexation of Bessarabia and northern Bukovina from Romania to form the Moldavian Soviet Socialist Republic (now Moldova), since this would in effect question the validity of the Moldovan state. (Basapress, 1757 GMT, 14 Feb 98; British Broadcasting Company)
Tajik, Uzbek governments come to terms on debt restructuring
During Uzbek Prime Minister Utkir Sultanov's recent (4 February) one-day working visit to Dushanbe, he and President Rahmonov signed an agreement on the precise terms of Tajikistan's debt rescheduling. The Tajik government now owes Uzbekistan between $151 and $199 million, which is to be repaid over the course of the next 15 years (Interfax, 1743 GMT, 4 Feb 98; FBIS-SOV-98-035). The Tajik government is not required to begin making interest payments on its debt until 1999, at which point the interest rate will be set at 2.8% (ITAR-TASS World Service, 1114 GMT, 4 Feb 98; FBIS-SOV-98-036).
Several other agreements were also signed on such issues as: water and energy use; cooperation between the two countries' interior ministries on narcotics smuggling and other border area crime; and on reciprocal recognition of each others' customs documents and security (ITAR-TASS World Service, 4 Feb 98; FBIS-SOV-98-036). Plans for President Karimov's upcoming visit to Tajikistan were also finalized, and Tajikistan's entry into the Central Asian Customs Union (currently consisting of Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Kazakhstan) was further discussed (Interfax, 1743 GMT, 4 Feb 98; FBIS-SOV-98-035).
Uzbekistan has also recently been accusing Tajikistan of harboring "Wahabi terrorists" and of providing them with a safe haven and training camps for their raids into Uzbek territory. The Tajik government seems to be dealing with these charges by simply ignoring them, but this may yet change, especially if Tajik citizens crossing into Uzbekistan are arrested and held as terrorists. Then again, President Karimov's charges could provide the Tajik government with a pretext to crack down on opposition activists on its own territory, especially in areas close to the Uzbek border (e.g. in Leninobod and in the vicinity of Tursunzade).
UTO, Tajik government release more POWs
On 11 February the Tajik government freed 109 opposition prisoners, and Tajik presidential adviser Mizrob Kabirov informed journalists that this was the last group of opposition POWs that was eligible for release under the terms of the general amnesty which was signed in August 1997 (Voice of the Islamic Republic of Iran, 0330 GMT, 12 Feb 98; FBIS-SOV-98-043).
Tajik president names four UTO members to cabinet
Petrosyan's 'party of peace' defeated
President Levon Ter-Petrosyan, who led the Karabakh movement since 1988 and has served as president since 1990, resigned on 3 February . His resignation was triggered by the defection of cabinet and parliamentary members to the opposition. These events ended a five-month struggle over Armenia's position on the OSCE Minsk group proposals for the settlement of the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh.
Petrosyan supported the international initiative which would have required Nagorno-Karabakh to return conquered regions of Azerbaijan proper to Azerbaijani jurisdiction during the first phase of a three-step process. Petrosyan faced formidable opposition from Robert Kocharian, who was the president of Nagorno-Karabakh before he was appointed Armenian prime minister in 1997. Kocharian and other Armenian and Karabakh officials publicly dissented from the presidential position and essentially portrayed the president as a traitor to the Karabakh cause, someone who was willing to give up hard-won military victories without receiving equivalent concessions from Baku.
Nagorno-Karabakh has rejected the phased approach and a package deal that would have resulted in a formal subordination of the region to Azerbaijan. A 7-8 January joint meeting of the Nagorno-Karabakh leadership and the Armenian Security Council ended in deadlock over the issue and pointed to deep fissures among the Armenian leaders. Defense Minister Vazgen Sarkisian and Karabakh-born Interior and Security Minister Serzh Sarkisian sided with Kocharian and the Nagorno-Karabakh leadership. (RFE/RL Newsline, 14 Jan 98)
Two weeks later, unsuccessful assassination attempts against three Petrosyan allies--the head of the presidential security service, Major General Romik Ghazarian, General Artsrun Markarian, the commander of the Internal Troops, and Ruben Hairapetian, the leader of Yerevan's Avan district--further aggravated the situation. (Jamestown Foundation Monitor, 22 Jan 98) Those allied with the president advised him to discipline insubordinate members of the government, called for the imposition of a state of emergency, and chided the government for its indifference to those crimes. (Snark, 23 Jan 98; FBIS-SOV-98-026) The opposing side accused presidential supporters of staging the incidents to gain public sympathy. Rumors of Kocharian's resignation, of a Dashnak coup, and of the distribution of arms to Yerevan residents contributed to extreme tension in the capital.
On 24 January, Defense Minister Vazgen Sarkisian made a statement in which he promised not to bring the military into the domestic dispute but also accused the presidential side of staging the assassination attempts. He declared his support for the opposition by saying, "When accusations are made against him [Kocharian] because of some people, then, at the end of the day, these people can be replaced...." Answering charges that Karabakh had taken the lead in formulating Armenian policy, Sarkisian called for unity and said that the only thing to be feared from Karabakh is an influx of refugees. (Noyan Tapan, 24 Jan 98; FBIS-SOV-98-026) Five days later, the leader of the National Democratic Union (DNU), Vazgen Manukyan, began to campaign outright for the president's resignation. (29 Jan 98; FBIS-SOV-98-029.) At the same time, the president's former supporters, including the foreign minister and the head of the Central Bank, began to submit resignations, and deputies formerly aligned with the ruling Armenian Pan-National Movement (APNM) defected to the opposition.
On 3 February, Petrosyan appeared on television to tell the nation that "bodies of power" had demanded his resignation and that he had decided to comply to forestall a deeper crisis. "The party of peace has suffered a defeat" he said. "All the same, sooner or later peace will blaze its trail." (Noyan Tapan, 3 Feb 98; FBIS-SOV-98-035)
According to the Armenian constitution, the parliamentary chairman was to become acting president until new elections could be held. However, since the parliamentary chairman, Babken Ararktsian of the APNM, resigned, Prime Minister Robert Kocharian took over as acting president. Elections are scheduled for 16 March. (Interfax, 4 Feb 98; FBIS-SOV-98-035)
On his first full day in office Kocharian made amply clear that Armenia's conciliatory stance was a thing of the past by telling journalists that he doubted whether Armenia should conduct intensive negotiations within the confines of the OSCE Minsk group. However, he also indicated that Armenia's new position should be articulated by the new president. (Interfax, 4 Feb 98; FBIS-SOV-98-035) On the same day, the defense minister said that he did not expect the war to resume in the next two years and that he would like Armenia to "freeze the status quo in Nagorno-Karabakh." (Interfax, 4 Feb 98; FBIS-SOV-98-035) On the following day Kocharian characterized the present situation, where Armenian forces occupy 20% of Azeri territory, as the most stable and added that the formulation of a package settlement agreeable to all the sides could take as long as 10 to 15 years. (Snark, 5 Feb 98; FBIS-SOV-98-036)
On 5 February Vazgen Manukyan announced his candidacy in the presidential race. Officially, he garnered 41.29% percent of the vote in the 1996 elections. However, because results of that election were under deep suspicion (Petrosyan's party falsified the results), Manukyan has claimed to be the real winner of that poll. (Interfax, 5 Feb 98; FBIS-SOV-98-036) Kocharian is not an Armenian citizen so he may not be eligible to run for president.
General Staff, ministry feuding continues as cooperation agreements are signed
In an ironic twist, the General Staff took to the media to protest the fact that members of the defense ministry had publicly aired disagreementsin the media. The dispute centers around the public utterances, by Defense Academy leadership and the head of the defense training office at the ministry of defense, about the officer training system. A procedure envisaged in laws and other legislative acts to resolve issues, and is not done through media channels, the spokesman announced through media channels. (Radio Tallinn Network, 1800 GMT, 27 Jan 98; FBIS-UMA-98-027)
Estonia has been fairly open-minded about officer training, seeking out assistance from many sources. At the end of January the government signed a military cooperation accord with Finland on military training and materiel aid (Baltic News Service Daily Report, 1100 GMT, 27 Jan 98), and an agreement with Hungary that is aimed at acquiring experience gained by the Hungarian defense forces as they attain interoperability with NATO countries. According to Minister of Defense Andrus Oovel, Hungary's plans to combine its defense ministry and General Staff into one entity will be studied. (Radio Tallinn Network, 1800 GMT, 27 Jan 98; FBIS-SOV-98-027). Given the current animosity between Estonia's defense ministry and General Staff, which has simmered since before the mutual laying of blame for the September 1997 Kurkse disaster, such a combination of forces would prove most interesting.
Demographics down; rights violations not limited to non-citizens
Those who are in Latvia face possible rights violations, according to a recent report by the US Department of State. The report criticized the poor situation in prisons, a weak judiciary system that "is independent but not well trained, efficient or free from corruption," as well as widespread sexual harassment and domestic violence aimed at women. (BNS Daily Report, 1400 GMT, 2 Feb 98) Apparently Russian complaints about discrimination against Russian speakers in Latvia do not encompass the whole problem.
by Kate Martin