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Incendiary Issues Amid Rising Turbulence
Briefing Book for Honolulu Security Seminar V
Honolulu, Hawaii
December 13-17, 1999
Compiled by Alex Tiersky and Richard Halloran with Shaolee Sen

Please email us if you are a journalist interested in receiving a complimentary copy of this working paper or any other Center publication.
Related Resources:
 
You can learn more about the seminar by browsing the following:
  • The Honolulu Security Seminar main page
  • Look through a list of links and resources discussed at HSSV.
    • Also available: this year's Agenda.
  • Click here for the original conference announcement.
  • Major funding for this program is provided by the W. Alton Jones Foundation.

     

    Contents

     

    I. Introduction

    Halloran, Richard, "Power Game," Far East Asian Economic Review Yearbook 2000, December 1999 (pre-publication text)

    Map of Asia and South East Asia, CIA World Factbook 1999

     

    II. Regional Issues

    "Asia-Pacific Region: Murky Future?" Strategic Assessment 1999: Priorities for a Turbulent World, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University (USA)

    Bracken, Paul, "Is there an Eastern Way of War?" Chapter 5, Fire in the East, New York: HarperCollins Publishers, 1999

    Manning, Robert A., and Przystup, James, "Asia's Transition Diplomacy: Hedging Against Futureshock," Survival, vol.41, no.3, Autumn 1999

    Dibb, Paul, Hale, David, and Prince, Peter, "Asia's Insecurity," Survival, vol.41, no.3, Autumn 1999

    May, Greg, "The Future of China-Japan-U.S. Trilateral Relations," The Nixon Center, October 1999

    Schoettli, Urs, "Asia's Lack of a Security Architecture: Arms Buildups Destabilize the Continent," Neue Zuercher Zeitung, November 1999

    Lim, Robyn, "Asia's Nuclear Arms Race," The Asian Wall Street Journal, November 8, 1999

     

    III. China

    Scalapino, Robert A., "The People's Republic of China at Fifty," National Bureau of Asian Research Analysis, Vol. 10. No. 4, National Bureau of Asian Research, 1999

    Segal, Gerald, "Does China Really Matter?, " Foreign Affairs, Vol.78 No.4, September/October 1999

    Zhang, Ming, "What Threat?" The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, Vol.55, No.5, September/October 1999

    "China's Nuclear Forces, 1999," The Natural Resources Defense Council's Nuclear Notebook, The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, Vol.55, No.4, May/June, 1999

    Feigenbaum, Evan A., "China's New Military Posture and the New Economic Geopolitics," Survival, vol.41., no.2, Summer 1999

    Lang, Qiao and Xiangsui, Wang, "Unrestricted Warfare: Assumptions on War and Tactics in the Age of Globalization," PLA Literature and Arts Publishing House, Beijing, February 1, 1999

    Allen, Kenneth, and McVadon, Eric, "China's Foreign Military Relations" (executive summary and introduction), The Henry L. Stimson Center, October 1999

     

    IV. Taiwan

    Teng-hui, Lee, "Understanding Taiwan: Bridging the Perception Gap," Foreign Affairs, November/December 1999

    "The Security Situation in the Taiwan Strait," Department of Defense Report to Congress Pursuant to the FY99 Appropriations Bill, February 1999

    "Poll: Taiwanese Divided on Likelihood of Unification," United Daily News, November 5, 1999

     

    V Southeast Asia

    Gershman, John, "APEC & ASEAN: Multilateralism In Asia Pacific," The Progressive Response, Vol. 3, No. 33, September 10, 1999

    Marvin Ott, "Southeast Asia and the United States: Policy Without Strategy," PacNet Newsletter No. 21, May 28, 1999

    Baker, Richard W., "A Win for Indonesia," PacNet Newsletter No. 41, October 22, 1999

    McDevitt, Michael, "Indonesia: A Post Presidential Snapshot . . . A Roundtable Report" The C.N.A. Corporation, October 29, 1999

    Thayer, Carlyle A., "China-ASEAN: Beijing Plans for a Long-Term Partnership and Benefits from Anti-Western Sentiment," Comparative Connections, July 1- September 30, 1999

     

    VI. South Asia

    "South Asia: Nuclear Geopolitics?" in Strategic Assessment 1999: Priorities for a Turbulent World, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University

    "Opening Remarks by National Security Adviser Mr. Brajesh Mishra at the Release of Draft Indian Nuclear Doctrine," and "Draft Report of National Security Advisory Board on Indian Nuclear Doctrine," As released by the Indian Ministry of External Affairs, August 17, 1999

     

    "India's Nuclear Doctrine: A Pakistani Perspective," Paper read by Foreign Minister of Pakistan at the Council on Foreign Relations in Washington, U.S.

    Kampani, Gaurav, "The Military Coup in Pakistan: Implications for Nuclear Stability in South Asia," Center for Nonproliferation Studies Report, Monterey Institute of International
    Studies, October 1999

    Lavoy, Peter R., "The Costs of Nuclear Weapons in South Asia," in Responding the Challenge of Proliferation, U.S. Foreign Policy Agenda, United States Information Agency
    Electronic Journal, September 1999

    Varadarajan, Siddharth, "The Piper's Price: India and the US After Kargil," The Times of India, July 17, 1999

     

    VII. The Korean Peninsula

    Perry, William, "Review of United States Policy Toward North Korea: Findings and Recommendations," Unclassified Report By Dr. William J. Perry, U.S. North Korea Policy Coordinator and Special Advisor to the President and the Secretary of State, United States State Department, October 12, 1999

    "Final Report [on North Korea] to the Speaker, U.S. House of Representatives," North Korea Advisory Group, Congress of the United States, October 29, 1999

    Independent Task Force, "U.S. Policy Toward North Korea: A Second Look," Pre-publication release (edited for length), Council of Foreign Relations, July 1999

    Carr, Edward, "Survey: The Koreas," The Economist, July10-16th, 1999 pgs 3-5, 14-16

    Bermudez, Joseph S. Jr., "The Rise and Rise of North Korea's ICBMs," Jane's International Defense Review, Vol. No. 32, July 1999

    Natsios, Andrew, "The Politics of Famine in North Korea," Special Report Newsbyte, United States Institute of Peace, Released August 8, 1999

    Soon-young, Hong, "Thawing Korea's Cold War: A Path to Peace on the Korean Peninsula," Foreign Affairs, May/June 1999 vol.78, no.3

     

    VIII. Japan

    "Sectoral Analysis of the International Situation and Japan's Foreign Policy," from Japan's "Diplomatic Bluebook 1999: Japan's Diplomacy with Leadership Toward the New Century," as translated by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan, October 1999

    Sato, Toshio, "Japan's Security Policy," Strategic Forum, Number 163, May 1999

    Nakasone, Yasuhiro, "Regional Challenges for Japan," PacNet Newsletter No. 33,

    Ogura, Kazuo, "Creating a New Asia", Japan Echo, Vol. 26, No. 3, June 1999

    Green, Michael J., "U.S.-Japan: Still in the Eye of the Hurricane?" Comparative Connections, July 1-September 30, 1999

     

    IX. The United States

    "The United States Security Strategy for the East Asia-Pacific Region 1998," U.S. Department of Defense, East Asian Strategy Report 1998

    "Report to Congress on Theater Missile Defense Architecture Options for the Asia-Pacific Region," U.S. Department of Defense

    Watts, William, "Americans Look at Asia," A Potomac Associates Policy Perspective, October 1999

     

    X. Weapons of Mass Destruction

    Sands, Amy, "The Nonproliferation Regimes At Risk;" and Fact Sheet: "Summary of Nonproliferation Regimes," in The Nonproliferation Regimes At Risk, Center for Nonproliferation Studies Occasional Paper #3, Monterey Institute for International Studies, July 1999

    Scheinman, Lawrence, "Challenges in South Asia to Nonproliferation Regimes;" and Medeiros, Evan S, "Northeast Asia 1999: Current Threats to Nonproliferation Regimes," in The Nonproliferation Regimes At Risk, Center for Nonproliferation Studies Occasional Paper #3, Monterey Institute for International Studies, July 1999

    Lauder, John A., "Worldwide WMD Threat to the Commission to Assess the Organization of the Federal Government to Combat the Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction, "Unclassified Statement for the Record by Special Assistant to the DCI for Nonproliferation, April 29, 1999

    U.S. Department of Defense, "Nuclear/Biological/Chemical Defense Annual Report to Congress," (executive summary and introduction), March 1999

    Miller, Judith, "U.S. Would Use Long Island Lab to Study Food Terrorism," The New York Times, September 22, 1999

    "Fact Sheet: Nuclear Dangers List," The Committee on Nuclear Policy, The Henry L. Stimson Center, November 9, 1999

     
     
     

    Please email us if you are a journalist interested in receiving a complimentary copy of this working paper or any other Center publication.

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