SEARCH FOR A NUCLEAR WEAPON FOR LIMITED CONFLICTS
Bromley and David Grahame report on the Pentagon's search for a nuclear
FUTURE OF NUCLEAR ARMS CONTROL
an interactive assessment
of nuclear disarmament after the Moscow Summit,
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Journalists' Essential Field Guide to Afghanistan
by Edward Girardet
by The European
Center for War,
The News Media
BUSH OUTLINES IRAQ THREAT
a plea for a greenlight from Congress, President George W. Bush fires
his best shot at painting Saddam as an immediate threat. Bush, delivered
the message to a carefully selected group of supporters in Cincinnati,
Ohio. Although cable TV carried the speech, the TV networks preferred
to broadcast entertainment and sports programs instead. The president
said that war was not inevitable, but he went on to argue that Saddam
could strike at the US at any time without leaving fingerprints behind.
The US did not ask for this present challenge," said Bush,
"but we accept it. He added that the "smoking gun could
come as a mushroom cloud."
George Bush, the White House, October 7, 2002
New York Times assessment
most Americans feel that Bush is spending too much time on Iraq and too
little on the Economy.
CAESAR ON THE POTOMAC?
Bookman, deputy editorial page editor of the Atlanta Constitution speculates
that Saddam is not the only reason for plunging the US into war. The destruction
of Saddam is actually the first step in a coordinated plan to transform
the US into a defacto empire. Take over Iraq, and Washington will have
control over both the Middle East and the oil that the rest of the world
depends on. Its all part of a 10-year strategy by former Reagan
acolytes, who used to be on the fringe of policy thinking, but have now
won over the president.
ISRAEL AS A BASE TO ATTACK IRAQ: THE EGYPTIAN VIEW
Israeli newspaper, Mariv, reports that the US is creating massive stockpiles
of weapons in Israel prior to launching a strike against Iraq. But by
involving Israel in its campaign against Iraq, Arab commentators argue
that Washington may be setting the stage for something bigger than the
removal of Saddam.
By Hassan Abu Taleb in Al Ahram. October 7, 2002
TANKER FIRE RAISES SPECTER OF ECONOMIC TERRORISM
anti-terrorism experts have been dispatched to the burning French oil tanker,
Limburg. The tankers owner is convinced that the ship was attacked
by a smaller boat traveling at high speed, and probably laden with explosives.
The incident could be the opening shot in a new round of terror attacks
in the Middle East.
Financial Times, October 7, 2002
BBCs Frank Gardiner reports on Osama Bin Ladens continuing popularity
W. Bush, never managed to see active military service so he may have missed
the old GI expression for the fog of war, SNAFU (situation normal--all
f---d up). Michael Klare, notes in the Nation, that the most noticeable
element missing in the White Houses rhetoric these days is a real
sense of how profoundly wrong things can go in a real combat situation.
By Michael Klare in the Nation, October 7, 2002
FORCES BEHIND SADDAM
the US goes ahead and conquers Iraq, it will need to pacify fractious
groups it barely understands. The International Crisis Group provides
a brief survey of the key players, and the scenarios we can expect to
ICG October 7, 2002
Bushs Axis of Evil was an obvious attempt at a replay of Ronald
Reagans Evil Empire. The phrase didnt work for Bush and he
has let it slide for the moment, but it would be a mistake to ignore the
policy vacuum that led to Bushs choice in the first place. By Mark
Lilla in the New York Review of Books, October 24, 2002
GUARANTEES THAT RUSSIAN OIL INTERESTS IN IRAQ WILL BE PROTECTED, EVEN
IF THERE IS WAR
reveals that his understanding with Washington calls for the Iraqi state
to remain even if Saddam is not part of it.
By the Moscow Times, October 6, 2002
KAGAN ELABORATES POWER AND WEAKNESS" ON LINE
Robert Kagan kicked
off the debate on the changing nature of the US role in the world with
his essay, Power and Weakness, which argues that the US projects
power because it can, while Europe takes a more conciliatory stance because
it lacks the capacity to do anything else. Kagan will conduct a live on-line
discussion on reactions to his essay this Tuesday.
to the discussion and the essay, click here.
By Robert Kagan, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, October 7,
SATELLITES PICK UP BIN LADEN PHONE CALL
of satellite phone calls seem to show Osama Bin Laden recently talking
with Afghanistan's Sheik Omar.
The Guardian, October 6, 2002
JAZEERA BROADCASTS BIN LADEN TAPE THREATENING MORE ATTACKS
Laden, or a voice purporting to be Bin Laden, refers to the White House
as Jewish agents preparing to attack the Muslim world, and promises to
respond in kind.
By Haaretz Sunday October 6, 2002
YORKER: OUR MAN IN LATIN AMERICA
Reich has had a special interest in Castro for a long time. Now he is
a key architect of US policy towards Cuba.
By William Finnegan in the new Yorker, October 7, 2002
RUSSIA MAY SHIFT COURSE ON CHECHNYA
appears to be increasingly bogged down in its attempts to dominate Chechnya.
There are signs now that Moscow may be looking for a way out. One sign
is a call by Primakov for discussions with Chechen leaders.
The Moscow Times, October 6, 2002
APPEARS TO BACK DOWN ON REFUGEE RETURN
May, Russian authorities said they would have all Chechen refugees home
by this fall. With Russian troops obviously unable to control the situation
in Chechnya, refugees were understandably reluctant to go along with the
plan. In fact, hardly any did, and now the president of Ingushetia says
that there was never any intention of forcing anyone to leave.
By Thomas de Waal, the Institute for War &
Peace Reporting, October 4, 2002
LIBERAL IS ISRAEL'S HA'ARETZ
Ha-Cohen notes that Israel's popular website in English often omits nationalistic
articles that appear in the newspaper's Hebrew edition. Is Ha'aretz biased,
or simply trying to cover all its bases?
THE US MILITARY SEEMS TO BE EVERYWHERE
Hartung, Michelle Ciarrocca and Frida Berrigan look at the suddenly expanded
US military presence in the world:
"...the preparations for 'Gulf War II' are part of a larger plan
to promote the most significant expansion of US global military presence
since the end of the cold war. The Pentagon is determined to maintain
access to the rapidly growing network of military facilities it has built
or refurbished in the Caucasus, South Asia and the Persian Gulf for decades
to come, long after George W. Bush and Saddam Hussein have passed from
the global stage.
In the fall of 1999, in his first major campaign speech on foreign policy,
Bush criticized the Clinton Administration for sending US troops off on
"aimless and endless deployments" that allegedly detracted from
their core mission of fighting and winning wars. Bush was primarily referring
to US peacekeeping missions in places like Kosovo, but he gave the impression
that he was planning to reduce the overall US military presence overseas
as well. Three years later, Bush's pledge to seek a more streamlined US
global military presence has been cast aside under the guise of fighting
"terrorists and tyrants" of Washington's choosing.
Since September 2001 US forces have built, upgraded or expanded military
facilities in Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Turkey, Bulgaria,
Pakistan, Afghanistan, Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan; authorized extended
training missions or open-ended troop deployments in Djibouti, the Philippines
and the former Soviet republic of Georgia; negotiated access to airfields
in Kazakhstan; and engaged in major military exercises, involving thousands
of US personnel, in Jordan, Kuwait and India. Thousands of tons of military
equipment have been added to stockpiles already pre-positioned in Middle
Eastern and Persian Gulf states, including Israel, Jordan, Kuwait and
Qatar. And discussions are still under way with Yemen about increasing
American access to facilities there and establishing an intelligence-gathering
installation aimed at monitoring activities in Sudan and Somalia.
These forward bases, many of which have been arranged through secretive,
ad hoc arrangements, currently house an estimated 60,000 US military personnel.
This includes 20,000-25,000 troops in the Persian Gulf, poised to serve
as the opening wave of a US invasion of Iraq..."
By William Hartung, Michelle Ciarrocca and Frida Berrigan in The
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