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State Department's
Report
on Patterns of Global Terrorism for 2002

The
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OPENING
THE "GATES OF HELL"

Hamas demonstration
in Gaza follows the assassination |
ARIEL
SHARON ORDERS THE ASSASSINATION OF SHEIK YASSIN, SPRIRITUAL LEADER OF
HAMAS
In case
there was any lingering doubt, Israel's assassination of the spiritual
leader of Hamas should make it clear that there is now a state of total
war with Palestinian opposition movements. The wheel-chair bound, partially
blind sheik has been paralyzed ever since a teen-age soccer accident.
He had just finished morning prayers and leaving a mosque, when an Israeli
helicopter fired three anti-tank rockets into his entourage. Ironically,
Sharon appears to have been more concerned with the internal politics
in Israel's Likud party than with Hamas' terrorism. Sharon is determined
to withdraw unilaterally from Gaza, while annexing more profitable pieces
of Palestinian territory in the West Bank. Concerned that he might appear
to be leaving Gaza under pressure, Sharon apparently felt that he needed
to make a strong statement. Meanwhile, the assassination has outraged
the Muslim world, and put pressure on the U.S. for its support to Israel.
Hamas, threatening to "open the gates of hell," has also suggested
that Sharon would not have acted without White House approval. The implication
is that the U.S. may now find itself on the target list--an unsettling
change in direction from Hamas' previous policy.
•Maariv's
account of the assassination
•Al
Jazeera's report
•The
BBC's report with links to background and video
•Ami
Isseroff on Mideast Web on Sharon's strategy
•Access
Middle East's background on Hamas and its history
•Israel's
International Policy Institute for Counter Terrorism on Hamas' background
and strategy
•Haaretz
on what Sharon hopes to gain
•Hamas' website--Hamas
on line
•Haaretz--U.S.
could be target--"The
Zionists didn't carry out their operation without getting the consent
of the terrorist American Administration, and it must take responsibility
for this crime," Hamas said in a statement faxed to The Associated
Press. "All the Muslims of the world will be honored to join in on
the retaliation for this crime," the statement said.
The threat against the United States would represent a change of tactics
for the militant group, which has always said its fight was with Israel
and not with the United States..."
IRAQ
A YEAR LATER
President
Bush insists that the invasion of Iraq has made the world safer, but it
is getting harder to find non-White House sources to confirm that assessment.
American reporters covering the bombing of the Mount Lebanon Hotel in
Beirut last week reported that for the first time they felt personally
threatened by Iraqi crowds. Newsweek's Melinda Liu, who rushed to the
scene, was told, "Get out of here. They'll kill you." A Pew
Foundation international survey shows a progressive degradation in American
prestige abroad--largely due to the Pentagon's handling of Iraq. In Britain,
where public opinion had been 61% in favor of the war, support has now
fallen to around 43%. Pew found that in Jordan, roughly 70% of the population
thinks that suicide are justified against Americans and Westerners in
Iraq. In Pakistan, a key ally of the U.S., 46% of the population thinks
suicide bombers are justified in attacking Americans. Only 36% think that
they aren't justified.
•The
Pew Survey (March 16, 2004)
•President
Bush's assessment:"One year ago, military forces of a strong
coalition entered Iraq.... Today, as Iraqis join the free peoples of the
world, we mark a turning point for the Middle East, and a crucial advance
for human liberty...every nation now has an interest in a free, successful,
stable Iraq." (White House, March 19, 2004)
•Sleeping
with lions who will eat you--Jen Banbury in Salon (Salon, March 20,
2004)
•Melinda Liu--Newsweek--A
Year On, Everyone Is Torn
•Graham
Usher--Al Ahram--Failing Iraq
"... Perhaps the only thing on which Iraqis agree is that one year
on the Americans have made a hash of the occupation -- that while the
US and Britain knew how to conquer Iraq, they have no idea how to run
it.... Most fear the war, above all between themselves. Some resist the
conquest. All fear implosion. Some still see light at the end of the tunnel,
though even they admit the tunnel is longer and darker than they imagined.
'If the road is a 100 miles long, we have moved half a mile,' says Zaed
Safar, a doctor, who welcomed the regime's fall and believes the worst
thing now would be for the occupation to leave..."
•Zbigniew
Brzezinski and Walter Russell Meade discuss
the changes that have taken place in the last year (Jim Lehrer News Hour,
March 19, 2004)
 |
RUMORS
OF A SUITCASE BOMB SURFACE IN AUSTRALIA AND IN THE NEW YORK POST
The New York Post and New York Sun both reprinted an AP story Monday
quoting an Australian television interview with Hamid Mir, the biographer
of Osama Bin Laden's deputy, Ayman al-Zawahiri. According to Mir, al-Zawahiri
claimed that Al Qaeda had bought several of the suitcase bombs, available
on the black market. Rumors of suitcase-sized bombs have circulated ever
since a Russian lieutenant colonel, Aleksandr Ivanovich Lebed, remarked
during an interview that some 200 bombs, originally prepared for Sovie-era
intelligence operatives, had disappeared. Lebed had had experience in
Afghanistan. Since then, stories about the bombs' existence have continuously
circulated through Central, South and East Asia. A number of proliferation
experts interviewed by UPI found the current stories cominhg from Australia
unlikely. the U.S. maintains special nuclear search teams, known as NEST,
which regularly track down reports of portable nuclear threats. The information
is generally not reported publicly to avoid creating panic, and to discourage
copycat hoaxsters.
•New
York Post story
•AP
story on News Max
•United
Press International polls counter-proliferation experts
•The
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists describes NEST operations in tracking
down nuclear devices (April,
2002)
• Fox
News provides a primer on portable nuclear devices
•An
amateur Australian website interested in counter-terrorism and counter-intelligence
lists the chronology and background on various stories about suitcase
bombs (we have no way of determining the reliability of information on
this site).
COUNCIL
ON FOREIGN RELATIONS RECOMMENDS RENEWING TIES TO EUROPE
A
new report, chaired by Henry Kissinger and Lawrence Summers, assigns top
priority to repairing damage to the Atlantic Alliance. (Henry Kissinger,
Lawrence Summers, Charles A. Kupchan, CFR, March 2004)
WHAT
REALLY HAPPENED IN SPAIN
David
Remnick, writing in the New Yorker, notes that Osama Bin Laden has succeeded
in changing the way the world relates to itself. The real reason for Spain's
election upset, Remnick suggests, was a public perception that the government
had misled it. In the war against terrorism, Remnick argues, honesty with
yourself is a prerequisite.
(David Remnick,
The New Yorker, March 22, 2004)
GEORGIA'S
ECCENTRIC BREAKAWAY LEADER KNOWS DRAMA
Aslan Abashidze, the eccentric leader of Adzharia, avoided two foreign
reporters for two days, only to whisk them back from Batumi airport as
they were about to board a flight bound for Moscow on Saturday.
Abashidze ordered the flight to wait as he invited reporters to his palatial
residence for an interview, in which he said that his compromise with
Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili last week had left him in firm
control over Adzharia in return for a minimum of concessions.(Simon Ostrovsky,
Moscow Times, March 22, 2004).
KOSOVO
ERUPTS AGAIN
Last week's violence between the Christian Serb minority and the dominant,
mainly Muslim ethnic Albanians was surprisingly swift and widespread.
It was probably inflamed by extremist Albanians, and casts doubts on the
UN's ability to administer the province and the capability of NATO-led
peacekeepers to prevent more killings.
Most of all, it shows how little progress has been achieved in helping
create the kind of Serb-Albanian harmony that would justify international
support for an independent Kosovo. (Tania Matic, Tania Vujisic, Institute
for War, Peace Reporting, March 22, 2004)
•Violence
stunned everyone
SYRIA
IS ALSO CHALLENGED
Syria's 41-year old government is based on a Baathist model similar
to Iraq's. The current president may not have Saddam's history, but the
regime is nevertheless badly in need of reform. Knight-Ridder's Warren
Strobel analyzes the situation on MENA-FM (Middle East North Africa- Financial
Network).
PAKISTAN'S
DEVOLUTION PROBLEM
The
International Crisis Group reports that Pakistan's transfer of more autonomy
to local administrations is actually strengthening the Army and undercutting
established political parties. (ICG, March 22, 2004)
RWANDA
TEN YEARS LATER
Ten years ago, Rwanda reminded the world that the potential for genocide
is still very real in the world. (Human Rights Watch, March 2004)
 
|
| 
Did
the Bush administration's obsession with Iraq give Osama Bin Laden
the space he needed to launch 9/11?
AN
OBSESSION WITH IRAQ MAY HAVE DISTRACTED THE ADMINISTRATION FROM
THE REAL DANGER IN 9/11
Richard
A. Clarke's new book may go a long way towards explaining the administration's
reluctance to probe too deeply into its activities in the months
leading up to 9/11. Clarke, interviewed on CBS' 60 Minutes Sunday
night, was the administration's chief of anti-terrorist expert,
and one of the few administration officials not to flee the White
House in panic during the 9/11 attacks. Clarke claims that he warned
Condoleeza Rice of an impending Al Qaeda attack as early as January
2001, but was only permitted to brief second echelon deputies. When
Clarke warned Paul Wolfowitz of the imminent Al Qaeda threat, Wolfowitz
snapped back: 'No, no, no. We don't have to deal with al Qaeda.
Why are we talking about that little guy? We have to talk about
Iraqi terrorism against the United States.'
"Clarke replied, 'Paul, there hasn't been any Iraqi terrorism
against the United States in eight years!' He then turned to the
deputy director of the CIA and said, 'Isn't that right?' The immediate
answer was, 'Yeah, that's right. There is no Iraqi terrorism against
the United States."
Clarke attributes the administration's failure to come to grips
with the threat to an outdated, Cold War perspective. " It
was as though they were preserved in amber from when they left office
eight years earlier," Clarke says."They came back. They
wanted to work on the same issues right away: Iraq, Star Wars. Not
new issues, the new threats that had developed over the preceding
eight years."
--Richard
A Clarke, interviewed by Leslie Stahl on CBS' 60 Minutes, March
21, 2004--transcript and video excerpts.
•CHARLIE
ROSE interviews Richard Clarke (Real Audio file can be listened
to on line with free Real Audio player)
•Intelligence
Hearings website
•Condoleeza
Rice's rebuttal to the Washington Post
•Donald
Rumsfeld and other Bush administration officials do not agree with
Richard Clarke's assessment of their activities
REWRITING
HISTORY--AN INTERACTIVE GUIDE FOR THE FORGETFUL
California
congressman Henry A. Waxman keeps a running track on how the declarations
about Iraq by President Bush, Vice-President Dick Cheney, Secretary
of Defense Donald Rumsfeld and National Security Advisor Condoleeza
Rice have evolved over the last 12 months.
•The
American Progress provides a series of leaked document photocopies
indicating that the Bush administration--and particularly the Justice
Department under Attorney General Ashcroft--had diverted resources
away from fighting terrorism prior to 9/11
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