Isenberg's critique of Homeland Security and recommendations for improvements
[click on image to go to the executive summary]
IN THE EYE OF THE STORM
France and Russia both indicate that they will veto a resolution that
authorizes attacking Iraq, even if the United States can get a majority
of the Security Council to support an invasion. That seems highly unlikely.
France is lobbying African members of the Security Council to vote against
war, and Britain has dispatched its own emissary to argue the opposite
point of view. U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan warns that an attack
without U.N. approval will violate the United Nations Charter. The U.S.
and Britain are delaying the vote until they can muster more support.
BBC provides a quick read on the behind-the-scenes maneuvering.
Asia Times goes into more precise detail on how the U.S. stacks up against
France and public opinion on competitive aid and commercial offers in
exchange for votes.
Jim Lehrer OnLine News Hour discusses the swing votes.
press conference at the Hague(U.N.)
Foreign Minister Dominique Villepins speech to the Security Council
tells French TV hell veto the resolution(NewsHour)
vs Doves in Britain (The Guardian)
MUCH WILL IT COST?
Bush Administration has been evasive on the actual costs of attacking
Iraq virtually alone. Rough estimates run from $100 to $200 billion, which
in contrast to Desert Storm, will have to be paid almost exclusively by
U.S. taxpayers. And that is just the cost of fighting the war. The impact
on the world economy could push the price tag far higher in real terms.
Yale economist William Nordhaus, historian Paul Kennedy and political
scientist Charles Hill discussed the ballooning costs on Jim Lehrers
(PBS Jim Lehrer News Hour, Hour, March 5, 2003)
stock brokers warn that war without a U.N. mandate could lead to worldwide
(The Guardian, March 9, 2003)
Center for Policy Analysis (a quick read of the numbers)
Congressional Budget Office's assessment of costs
Yale economist William
Nordhaus explains the process of estimating war costs in the New York
Review of Books (NYRB, December 5, 2002)
Nordhaus' complete study, available as an on-line download in pdf format
from The American Academy of Sciences
available in pdf format from William Norhaus' own website
QAEDA AND THE ISLAMIC BOMB
bulletin of the Atomic Scientists reports that two Pakistani scientists
passed important nuclear secrets to members of Al Qaeda in 2000. Their
goal: share the secrets of the atomic bomb with the worlds Muslim
(David Albright and Holly Higgins in The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists,
TO BUY A GAS CENTRIFUGE TO BUILD A BOMB?
Dr., A.Q.Khan Research Laboratories in Rawalpindi, Pakistan offer some
interesting pieces of equipment and assistance spun off from the Pakistani
gas centrifuge programthe program that made possible Pakistans
enrichment of uranium for nuclear weapons. Many of the items shown in
the brochure are generally viewed as sensitive and in many countries would
be subject to stringent export controls. David Albright obtained the sales
brochure which is clearly not intended for your average consumer.
(Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March-April 2003)
TO PROFIT FROM THE WAR
Perle doesnt hold any official government position, but he does
serve in a "special" capacity as Chairman of the Defense Policy
Board which counsels the Pentagon and the administration on defense priorities.
He is also a managing partner in Trireme Partners L.P. , a venture capital
firm formed two months after 9/11. Triremes commercial objective:
turn a profit on contracts related to homeland defense and national security.
Seymour Hersh reports in the current New Yorker that Trireme recently
sent a letter to Saudi multibillionaire businessman and arms dealer, Adnan
Kashoggi, trolling for additional investment funding. (Seymour Hersh,
Yorker, March 17, 2003)
WANTS TO DEPLOY FIRST STAGE OF U.S. ANTI-BALLISTIC MISSILE DEFENSE SYSTEM
WITHOUT OPERATIONAL TESTING
problem-plagued system has failed several critical tests so far. Now the
Defense Department wants to skip the operational testing phase and begin
initial deployment. Donald Rumsfeld contends that the anti-ballistic missiles
intended to save the U.S. from nuclear attack can be tested gradually
after the missiles are in place. The first two years of testing, mandated
by U.S. law, would be waived. Initial deployment would be on the West
(Center for Defense Information, March 6, 2003)
in Council for a Livable World, February 27, 2003
Senator Diane Feinsteins letter protesting Rumsfelds proposition.
MANY BOMBS DOES NORTH KOREA REALLY HAVE?
North Koreas nuclear progress is a complex task, but it is a safe
guess that Pyongyang is has now emerged as the worlds 9th nuclear
power. It may not have a delivery vehicle yet, but with terrorism on the
rise, it may not need one.
(The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March-April, 2003)
MEN CHOOSE TO FIGHT IMPOSSIBLE ODDS
scientists have long puzzled over the universal tendency to underestimate
enemies while simultaneously exaggerating ones own capacity. Self
delusion often leads to a successful bluff, which can produce unexpected
victory. The downside is that it also makes warfare extremely unpredictable.
By Raj Persaud in the Telegraph on-line, February 26, 2002)
DO YOU RATE AN ARMY?
knows that the U.S. Army is technologically formidable, but what determines
success? In the Black hawk Down affair in Mogadishu, an over reliance
on technology worked against embattled troops in an urban setting. Winston
Churchill famously misjudged the fighting ability of the Turks in the
battle of Gallipoli. Thomas Powers, writing in the New York review of
Books surveys three different assessments of the U.S. Army.
(Thomas Powers, NYRB, March 27, 2003)
Bush has a gut instinct that pushes him and the country towards warwhy
does that make the rest of us nervous? (Hendryk Herbzberg in The New
Yorker, March 17, 2003)
International Institute of Strategic Studies Iraq Page (contains maps
of Iraqi nuclear and biological sites, missile ranges, and deployments)
ESTIMATES U.S. & ALLIED ORDER OF BATTLE
International Institute of Strategic Studies projects U.S. troop movements
according to current military doctrine, and adds up the forces available
for the attack.
(IISS, March 7, 2003)
ESTIMATES IRAQI, U.S. AND REGIONAL AIR ASSETS
may not have the best army in the world, but it is sizable in numbers,
and it will now be defending its homeland. As General Aideed showed in
Mogadishu, Somalia, even a badly equipped force can produce surprises.
The Center for Strategic and International Studies Anthony Cordesman
provides a detailed analysis of exactly what Iraq has on its side.
(Anthony Cordesman, CSIS, February 7, 2003)
reason for the confusion over Iraqi missile capabilities is that Iraq
has been hiding various secret programs under aliases. The CSIS' Anthony
Cordesman provides a comprehensive rundown on what Iraq is believed to
have in its possession. (Anthony Cordesman, CSIS, February 2003)
WORKING DOCUMENT ON UNRESOLVED ISSUES (U.N. March 6, 2003173 pages)
is the comprehensive report on what still needs to be done from the viewpoint
of inspections in Iraq.
SPEECHES LAST FRIDAY
to the bottom of the page) This comprehensive index includes links to
both text and live audio of Hans Blix , Mohammed El Baradei, Colin Powell,
the foreign ministers of France, Russia, China, Britain and the Iraqi
U.N. ambassador(Scroll to the bottom of the page) . (PBS Jim Lehrer On-Line
Newshour, March 7, 2003)
FOR THE END
Iraqi artist Nuha al-Radi
writes to his 85-year old mother in Baghdad: Move away from the river.
It acts like a tunnel. It carries so much noise. Huge reverberations flow
(Nuha al-Radi, The Institute for War & Peace Reporting, March 6, 2003)
MAILER ON THE WORLD VS. GEORGE BUSH
a very short space of time, George Bush has made the rest of the world
extremely nervous. Norman Miler points out that a recent issue of the
European edition of TIME Magazine polled European opinion on which country
represents the greatest threat to peace. North Korea rated 7%, Iraq 8%
and the U.S. a whopping 84%. British spy novelist John Le Carre noted
in a recent issue of the Times of London that, "America has entered
one of its periods of historic madness, but this is the worst that I can
" The playwright, Harold Pinter observed," ...The
American administration is now a bloodthirsty wild animal. Bombs are its
only vocabulary. Many Americans, we know, are horrified by the posture
of their government, but seem to be helpless.
Unless Europe finds the solidarity, intelligence, courage and will to
challenge and resist American power, Europe itself will deserve Alexander
Herzen's declaration "We are not the doctors. We are the disease.""
Is the administration mad, or simply marching to the beat of a different
drummer? Norman Mailer argues there is a method to the administrations
recent actions. "Political leaders and statesmen are serious men
even when they appear to be fools," says Mailer. " It is rare
to find them acting without some deeper reason they can offer to themselves."
(Norman Mailer in the New York Review of Books,
March 27, 2003)
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