IS BACK IN STYLE
University professors Margaret and Melvin DeFleur have updated their study
of attitudes about America in different countries of the world. Click
here to see the an interactive guide.
here for the full report as a pdf file
Isenberg's critique of Homeland Security and recommendations for improvements
[click on image to go to the executive summary]
SEARCH FOR A NUCLEAR WEAPON FOR LIMITED CONFLICTS
Bromley and David Grahame report on the Pentagon's search for a nuclear
FUTURE OF NUCLEAR ARMS CONTROL
an interactive assessment
of nuclear disarmament after the Moscow Summit,
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PREPARES FOR A "SHOCK AND AWE" ASSAULT ON IRAQ
massive onslaught employing missiles and precision 3,000-lb bombs at a
rate ten times greater than the Gulf War is being prepared. The object:
crater Baghdads leadership, including Saddam Hussein.
on the BBC
in the New York Times
A NEW KIND OF WAR
"...America's military hardwarein particular, its surveillance
equipment, munitions and means of delivering themhas evolved dramatically
in the decade since the Gulf war. Its military superiority is now greater
than any power's for many centuries. Meanwhile, the strength of Iraq's
army, measured in tanks, artillery and troops, has declined by more than
half. ...but the devastating results of trying to fight America and its
allies as if they were Iran or Kuwaitin open terrain, where Iraqi
forces were crushed by air power and artillerywill encourage Mr
Hussein to try to lure the invaders into Iraq's cities. And America's
conventional strength will encourage him to use other, unconventional
methods. In 1991, Iraq did not use chemical or biological weapons. This
time, the fact that the war will be explicitly directed towards removing
his regime could also remove any inhibitions Mr Hussein has about using
(The Economist, February 3, 2003)
ON THE TRAIN OR DROP OUT
message to the U.N. is simple: join the U.S. attack against Saddam, or
face irrelevance. Europe seems to be getting the message. Most world leaders
today are thinking less about how best to deal with Mr. Hussein than about
how to deal with an unstoppable superpower.
(Serge Schmemann, New York Times News of the Week in Review, February
MEDIA CAT FIGHT OVER IRAQ THE NEW YORK TIMES IS THE TARGET
the New Republic's sudden decision to attack the new York Times for going
slow on Iraq, the Washington Post's Howard Kurtz points out that the editors
have made a bizarre about-face."The magazine has taken an unrelentingly
hawkish stance on Iraq, not unlike George Bush," says Kurtz,"and
it is ready to do battle against the liberal, reasoned, lets-not-rush-into-war-stance
of the Times editorial page
(Howard Kurtz, the Washington Post,January 31, 2003)
NEW REPUBLIC'S EDITORIAL CHASTISING THE NEW YORK TIMES FOR GOING SLOW
The editorials of The New York Times are a good showcase of
the intellectual incoherence of the liberal war critics. The Times is
worth dwelling on not only because of its great influence but also because
its opposition to war is carefully calibrated, closely matching the views
of mainstream Democrats rather than those of angry street demonstrators
(Editors, the new Republic, Jan. 31, 2003)
THE CIA REVISED ITS ASSESSMENT OF AL QAEDA
the Clinton administration, the CIA was there but it missed the big picture.
As in the attack on Pearl Harbor, U.S. intelligence heard the signals,
but no one was listening.
(Jeffrey Goldberg, The New Yorker, February 3, 2003)
BRIEFING BOOK ON IRAQ
articles and data from the center for Strategic and International Studies.
EVIDENCE YET OF OIL FIELD MINES
Cyprus-based Middle East Economic Surveyreports thatdespite
reports to the contrary--there is no evidence yet that Saddam has started
mining oil fields, yet.
(MEES, February 3, 2003)
FORMER CHIEF ROLF EKEUS ANALYZES RECENT DEVELOPMENTS ON IRAQ
U.N.s first, and most dynamic chief arms controller, Rolf Ekeus,
speaks with Carnegies Jessica Matthews on the significance of recent
developments. (This is available as a downloadable MP3 audio file, which
can be accessed with RealAudio).
(Rolf Ekeus, Carnegie Endowment for International peace, January 3, 2003)
ANNOTATED DECONSTRUCTION OF PRESIDENT BUSHS STATE OF THE UNION ADDRESS
Policy in Focus takes a closer look: "The attempt to put Baathist
Iraq on par with Nazi Germany and Soviet Russia is ludicrous. Hitler's
Germany was the most powerful industrialized nation in the world when
it began its conquests in the late 1930s and Soviet Russia at its height
had the world's largest armed forces and enough nuclear weapons to destroy
humankind. Iraq, by contrast, is a poor Third World country that has been
under the strictest military and economic embargo in world history for
more than a dozen years after having had much of its civilian and military
infrastructure destroyed in the heaviest bombing in world history
(John Gershman, Foreign Policy in Focus, January 29, 2003)
Fallows deconstructs the speech for the Atlantic
Rumsfeld gives the Pentagon's perspective at a press conference
the State of the union Address plays in the Middle East:Picking and choosing
what to emphasize..
East Economic Survey-February 3, 2003)
Arab view on the U.S. and Iraq
(Mees, February 3, 2003)
THREATENING STORM: KENNETH POLLACK MAKES A STRONGER CASE FOR ATTACKING
IRAQ THAN THE PRESIDENT
because the president has a difficult time using proper syntax or pronouncing
the English language doesn't mean that he is wrong about Iraq. Kenneth
Pollack, a former CIA analyst, and member of the national Security Council
makes some convincing arguments on why Saddam should not be left to his
Durkin reviews Polllack's book in the New York Observer
Remnick expresses similar views in the New Yorker
THE UNRESOLVED PALESTINIAN PROBLEM THE FATAL WEDGE?
Doran, writing in Foreign Affairs, notes that many in the Middle East,
Europe and even the US think that the conflict between Israelis and Palestinians
is the real issue in the Middle Eastnot Iraq. By failing to understand
regional sensibilities, Washington could be courting disaster.
(Michael Doran, Foreign Affairs, February 3, 2003)
CONVICTS ITS FIRST AL-QAEDA SUSPECT
Okal trained in Afghanistan, and sought to set up a cell in Gaza. He never
got to launch an attack. He was sentenced to 27 years.
(Haaretz, February 3, 2003)
OVER PROMOTING DEMOCRACY
the war on terrorism, George W. Bush has shown a split personality on
the promotion of democracy abroad. Bush the realist seeks warm ties with
dictators who may help in the fight against al Qaeda, while Bush the neo-Reaganite
proclaims that democracy is the only true solution to terror. How the
administration resolves this tension will define the future of U.S. foreign
( Thomas Carothers, Foreign Affairs, Jan-February 2003)
WEEK OF SHAME
T. Wheelers essay on how Congress ceded its power to declare war
to the White House and lost control over the Republican juggernaut that
is now pushing the U.S. into armed conflict.
(Winslow T. Wheeler, Center for Defense Information, Feb. 3, 2003)
OF FY04 DEFENSE BUDGET
Pentagon spending in FY04 is expected to be around $380 billion
in outlays, roughly four percent above current levels
Center for Defense Information details who gets what, including $23 billion
for "transformational" technologies, and $38 billion for "Homeland
Security." Pentagon hawks want more.
(Center for Defense Information, Jan. 30, 2003)
Pentagon reports the budget.
Pentagon press briefing
INDIA IT IS MUSLIMS WHO ARE TARGETS OF RELIGIOUS FANATICISM
Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (National Volunteers Association, or R.S.S.)
has pushed religious fanaticism to new limits, and its targets are Muslims.
(The New York Times Magazine, Sunday Feb. 2, 2003)
JOURNALIST IN JAIL FOR STATUTORY RAPE OR FOR REPORTING KAZAKH CORRUPTION?
Duvanov claims that the real reason Kazakhstans president Nursultan
Nazerbayev wants him in jail is a series of articles last summer dealing
with oil company slush funds that members of the government allegedly
hid in secret bank accounts. Europes OSCE has called for an investigation.
No one denies that journalism in Kazakhstan is a risky business.
( Erbol Jumagulov in Almaty, Institute for War, Peace reporting, February
DROPS BALL ON SETTING UP AFGHAN LEGAL SYSTEM
The Western powers may say they want democracy in Afghanistan, but so
far they have failed to deliver resources to rebuilding Afghanistans
legal system which will be a major component of any future government.
(The International Crisis Group, January 28, 2003)
VLADIMIR PUTIN REALLY LOOK LIKE THE ELF IN HARRY POTTER?
Putin's critics, the president's physical resemblance to an irritating,
self-hating gnome is a source of glee. "The similarity becomes even
greater when you observe poor Dobby's upheavals. Destitute, cowardly,
ingratiating, he betrays his masters and beats himself for the sake of
a sorcerer," the Zavtra newspaper said."
(The Moscow Times, February 3, 2003)
Russian lawyers plan to sue
Guardian, Feb. 3, 2003)
THE PENTAGON PERPETUATING A MAGINOT LINE FOR THE 21ST CENTURY?
US Department of Defense has pinned the military capacity of the nation
on hopes that as yet unproven technology will generate significant operational
advantages," observes Lieutenant Colonel John A. Gentry,( USAR Ret.),
"Operational inadequacies, technical limitations, and fundamental
institutional problems indicate that these dreams are doomed to fail...
The United States may be creating what historians will one day call the
Maginot Line of the 21st century
(John A. Gentry, Parameters Quarterly, US Army War College, Carlisle Barracks,
NOT TO LEARN FROM AFGHANISTAN
principal lesson of modern war is the need to operate in combined arms
teams to win decisive victories that yield beneficial political change.
There are no "silver bullets" that can win wars by themselves,
even if fitted with satellite guidance. Nor is war just about blowing
things up. War is "politics by other means" with the aim to
determine how territory and people are governed, and to what ends rulers
direct their resources. This cannot be done from 15,000 feet in the air
(William R. Hawkins, Parameters Quarterly, The U.S. Army War College,
Carlisle Barracks, Summer, 2002)
INTELLIGENCE WITH EVIDENCE
agencies are there to warn us about potential dangers so we can prepare
ourselves in advance. Unlike the police, they often cannot afford to take
the time to collect solid evidencethe proverbial smoking gunneeded
to prove their case. Confusing the difference between intelligence and
evidence can have disastrous consequences for policy makers.
(Bruce Berkowitz, RAND & The Washington Post, February 2, 2003)
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